Stockchase Opinions

Brendan Caldwell Meta Platforms, Inc. META-Q HOLD Apr 03, 2025

You'd think it had nothing to do with tariffs, and he's a bit pressed to explain why it's down today. It has the feel of a capitulation moment, where people are using tariffs as an excuse to sell. Baby out with bathwater.

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BUY
Is the only Mag 7 stock that rose after earnings.

Their earnings growth + PE was the most reasonable last year and entering this. Earnings continue to grow and are controlling spending. Is the best of the Mag 7.

TRADE

Of the Mag 7, he likes this, but it's tough to buy at currently high levels. For an options trade: sell that $650 put (almost 10% downside) into May, then collect $21.50, which is a large premium, but huge downside protection.

BUY

It continues its record rally today. Last night, they increased their dividend by 5%. It's the cheapest Mag 7 in PE and have delivered strong. They've bought back $44 billion of shares in the past year. Massive free cash flow. He hopes there's a stock split.

PARTIAL SELL

Generally, big tech are good companies, but have lost ground recently and their valuations have been nosebleeds for a long time. Meta is basically Facebook; he can message his mother in New Zealand cheaply, but fundamentally what will it do for him? Is it a sustainable business model. It's too early to say which of these names is a buy the dip, buy you could trim or take some names off the table.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Shares are washed out from this correction.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Mar 13/24, Up 17%)

Trades around 23x PE with a strong growth rate. One in two humans interact with a Meta product everyday. An excellent place to be.

BUY

He likes Meta here, is fairly priced, despite the overall selling in tech in recent weeks. 

BUY
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research

The stock has made a bit of a 'round trip' from its recent highs but considering its strength, market share, financial position and growth, at 23X earnings (with $77B cash) we think it is buyable for investors who can look beyond the current market volatility (which will end, one day). 
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COMMENT

It's a pure ad play and ads struggle in a slowdown. He worries about its AI platform--others are better.

BUY

It appears to have little exposure to tariffs, because they sell advertising, but this could be a target of EU tariff retaliation or if the trade war leads to recession. Is -30% from highs, and these fears are baked into the stock. Trades under only 20x PE.