McDonaldsMCDCOMMENTAug 04, 2017Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Aug 03, 2026. Market Open.
Half its business is NA, half international. Not a huge amount of growth, perhaps 5-6%. EPS growth of 7-8%. Opens a few new stores a year. More of a landlord, with over 90% franchised. Very high ROIC.
Only 20x PE today, down from historically high 20s. In his world, it's a staple not discretionary :) Yield is 2.65%.
This has a period of seasonal strength that goes through until approximately mid-July. Chart shows there was a nice upward run, and during the last week or so, the stock sold off on news. If you are a trader, you are probably taking some money off the table. It has another period of seasonal strength from around October to Nov/Dec. Technicals are starting to roll over and the stock is starting to underperform. Momentum indicators are starting to turn down.