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Longview OilLNV.TOTOP PICKAug 15, 2013Stock price when the opinion was issued
Advantage Energy (AAV-T) is peeling out its control position, which has basically been done. The mystery buyer has taken a piece of this offering. This company is an interesting story in its own right. If boil out the numbers on the current $5.25, and take a guess as to what might happen, he thinks you could come up with a $6 price on the stock, giving a little bit of upside from here. It’s a company in transition and he would like to know who the buyer is first.
A tough one. Likes this one. It got spun out of a parent Nat. Gas. Company a couple of years ago. He hoped they could incrementally add volume to it over time but that has not happened. They cut the dividend. He treats it like a bond investment. If it sits long enough then someone else comes along and buys them for the potential cash flow.
(A Top Pick March 29/12. Down 46.17%.) Their debt has crept up and he feels the market is questioning the sustainability of the dividend. Have light oil focus and he continues to think decline rates are fairly modest. They should think about selling some non-core assets and instituting a DRIP program.
Not well followed. Not a lot of institutional ownership. A dull, boring story. Decline rate of 19-20%, which is what everyone wants right now. 11.5% sustainable yield even if at 100% payout ratio. A sleeper pick.