David Baskin
Nordstrom Inc
JWN-N
DON'T BUY
Jun 18, 2009
There is suffering going on in the high-end retail space. People are adjusting their buying patterns downwards. People who used to shop here might go to a lesser priced retailer.
Likes the major US retailers like this one. Stock is very, very strong. But his “go to” name in that retail space would be Macys (M-N) that has a much better valuation, cheaper peg ratio and better growth
When you compare this one to its peers, it is an outperformer, one of the few. Retail is a difficult space right now, so if you had to pick one, this would probably be the place to go. The trend is up.
A great company, one of the leading retailers out there. Very good e-commerce platform. Growing sales. But they are going through a high investment cycle. They traditionally trade at around a 15X forward multiple of earnings, and now are close to 20 or 21 times, so they are on the expensive side.
Bullish or bearish market outlook? He doesn't see 5 interest rate hikes this year + 1 in 2023, like Goldman predicts, not with what's happening globally. He never thought this would be a quick military incursion by Russia. That said, that doesn't matter if an investor is long-term. Buy stocks on dips like this? Absolutely. But buy high-flying stocks with 55+ PE's? No. Be disciplined. Don't buy a stock which reported great earnings and expect that stock to keep rising. Nordstrom just exploded to the upside on a strong earnings report; so sell it and don't sit on those gains.