Andrew PyleIBM Common StockIBMWATCHMay 28, 2025

Is -18% from highs and trades at 18x PE. They create mission-critical software.

Has done better than peer consulting companies. Chart appears to be rolling over. But in his industry, "nobody ever got fired for buying IBM".

It's a screaming buy, down 17% this year. Trades at 20x forward PE. Then, there's quantum computing, which has a $1.3 trillion addressable market from now to 2030. The CEO has done a great job. 

Big into AI, huge into quantum. Checks all the boxes. Last earnings (April 22) were a bit of an execution slipup. He has a full position right now (4.5%). Buy here, add around $270, and again at $255. Yield is 2.43%.

There's such a backlog in the data centre build that we're seeing a huge boost in earnings and net income. After its recent run, this will keep going, but at some point the music will stop, though not anytime soon. Would buy only a tranche now then buy more during a dip.

It was doing well, rising above $300, the past year, but is now consolidating around $240. If it continues here, it will go sideways. Falling below $235 is not good, while rising past $350 is encouraging.

Growing from multiple angles, yet valuation still reasonable. Stable and embedded business complemented by new growth drivers. Consulting business helps companies implement AI, and that's where the real spending is. Strong in hybrid cloud, managing data across environments. Quantum computing already being used with potential for energy, healthcare, manufacturing. 

Drop in February due to sector rotation and profit taking. Trades ~19x PE, attractive. Sees 30% upside from here to ~$317. Yield is 2.85%.

He trimmed this after exhaustion in the tech trade currently. He rotated into Microsoft which fell from $550 to $400. In terms of software, the baby is being thrown out with the bath water. He doesn't expect AI to show profit in the next quarter, but like MSFT long term.

(Note the short timeframe.)  Still likes. Fundamentals remain strong. Pullback is attractive entry point. Core story remains hybrid cloud/AI. Emerging as a leader in quantum. Continued earnings growth. About 28% upside from here.

Hold on to it. At 4-5% growth, in the ballpark of the top players. He doesn't know its exposure to robotics. Street's pretty positive on it, about 20% upside. At 20x PE, not an aggressive valuation. Margins expected to stay healthy -- 60% gross margins, net income margins of close to 20%.

Is just reported strong software numbers and a full-year forecast. Is a cheap stock.

Annual recurring revenue is growing double-digits. Their report next week should be good.

Has tripled since late 2022, and up 40% the past 12 months. They have terrific AI, cloud and consulting businesses. Also have quantum computing. Sales are up under a fine CEO. The rallied hard last October, but has pulled back. Its chart has double-bottomed and is rebounding like crazy. It's broken out of its 50-day moving average this week. Resistance is at $315, then the next at $335-345. There's more upside with the next leg higher coming. Momentum (MACD indicator) just made a bullish crossover, a positive signal.  The On Balance Volume too. The RSI looks good, and can go higher. He liked their last quarter. 

The PE is cheap. Still a buy.

It has had quite a run with all the AI buzz. With it you have the same trade as you have with NVIDIA. It is a good business and will capture a solid portion of the software spend on AI. Ultimately though, how far away from commercialization is AI. The easy money has been made and IBM is over-valued at these levels.