IBM Common StockIBMCOMMENTMay 19, 2015Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Nov 10, 2026. Market Open.
They transition from hardware to services and software. The stock ran up on the hype leading the earnings, but then that enthusiasm vanished. Any revenue miss impacts earnings and sentiment. IBM is interesting in the long term, but IBM has been considered dead money in the past. You get a decent dividend and management is good.
We had these stocks that were growing off of AI, and they've been delivering spectacular growth. But they've also had spectacular increases in share prices, which becomes a potential source of volatility.
The question is whether valuations are too high given projected growth? As we've seen here, some of the price adjustments can be pretty abrupt.
This is in transition, but it does have fundamentals. His model price is $200, a 15% upside. Pays a 3% dividend. Even if they disappoint on the top and bottom lines, they know how many shares to buy back to make the whole thing work.