IBM Common StockIBMHOLDDec 04, 2014Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Nov 10, 2026. Market Open.
They transition from hardware to services and software. The stock ran up on the hype leading the earnings, but then that enthusiasm vanished. Any revenue miss impacts earnings and sentiment. IBM is interesting in the long term, but IBM has been considered dead money in the past. You get a decent dividend and management is good.
We had these stocks that were growing off of AI, and they've been delivering spectacular growth. But they've also had spectacular increases in share prices, which becomes a potential source of volatility.
The question is whether valuations are too high given projected growth? As we've seen here, some of the price adjustments can be pretty abrupt.
Stock has fallen off a bit in the last couple of quarters. Kind of flat lined and hasn’t really moved anywhere. Looks like it has reached a bottom in terms of the technicals. Over the last several years, you are seeing flat, even declining growth, and that is not something you want to see in a technology name. There are some concerns about their ability to compete in a fast-changing IT market. Trading at 10X forward PE and probably a 9% long-term growth rate. Dividend seems pretty secure.