IBM Common StockIBMDON'T BUYSep 11, 2014Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Nov 10, 2026. Market Open.
They transition from hardware to services and software. The stock ran up on the hype leading the earnings, but then that enthusiasm vanished. Any revenue miss impacts earnings and sentiment. IBM is interesting in the long term, but IBM has been considered dead money in the past. You get a decent dividend and management is good.
We had these stocks that were growing off of AI, and they've been delivering spectacular growth. But they've also had spectacular increases in share prices, which becomes a potential source of volatility.
The question is whether valuations are too high given projected growth? As we've seen here, some of the price adjustments can be pretty abrupt.
About 11% revenue growth, total, in 10 years. They reduced shares by 35%. So the benefit was share buy backs. There is not enough upside in his opinion.