Opinions James Telfser
Home Capital GroupHCG.TOTOP PICKMar 08, 2013
James TelfserOwned
$58.41
Stock price when the opinion was issued
$44.26
As of Sep 01, 2023. Market Open.
investment companiesfunds
It's the ideal tool to help you make quicker, more informed decisions for managing and tracking your investments.
You might be interested:
DON'T BUY
If you want to own a lender, please own Canadian bank stocks instead. HCG and others don't have the same access to capital, so they can get caught in a liquidity squeeze. Borrowers pay a higher rate of interest. If housing market has a hiccup, HCG would be more exposed than the banks.
investment companiesfunds
STRONG BUY
A few years ago, it was one of his beloved stocks until it got slammed by comments from the U.S. and OSC. It has since rebounded. Its fair market value is 154% higher than the current price. If it can break out from the current $45 price, this will enjoy a nice upside. They are also buying back a lot of shares, which he thinks is stupid; raise the dividend instead.
investment companiesfunds
BUY
What is interesting about them is that they came through mortgage hell in 2008 with barely a ripple. It has also emerged from COVID-19 issues with barely a ripple. It is very cheap compared to its long term book value of $45. The fair market value is huge and the balance sheet is fine. He wishes they would institute a dividend that would give investors more comfortable that everything is fine. He thinks deferred mortgage payments will not be an issue for them. In a recovery, it will do very well.
investment companiesfunds
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Oct 01/19, Up 41%) He recommended it when it was basing and, as he predicted, it popped. Now, it's peaking, so he expects a 10% pullback, so wait.
Javed MirzaOwned
investment companiesfunds
BUY ON WEAKNESS
PARTIAL SELL
Recently he took profits, because his cost base was a third of its current price. It's had a tremendous run. The company has come back from its problems a few years ago, thanks to new managers who will continue to do well. He would buy more later. You can take some profits now.
Michael SprungOwned
investment companiesfunds
Some think the housing market is going to have a severe correction including some US investors who are shorting this one. Gives a great opportunities to get into a great name. Has a 25% return on equity. Trading at 8X forward earnings, compared to the banks at 10 or 11 times. 1.78% yield. Big banks are turning away loans that they used to take so the quality of their loan book is increasing.