Hudbay Minerals (HBM.TO)

On a seasonal basis, base metal stocks have done well from around October until around April each year. Technically, it is in a downward trend, underperforming the market, momentum indicators on the downside. This is an example of the technicals and the seasonal just not coming together. When you see that, you are better off looking for opportunities elsewhere.

This is fine longer-term. This has been growing, particularly outside of Canada. Feels it is a long-term Hold. It is very difficult for them on an environmental and permitting bases in the US. Well-managed.

He likes their underlying business, but likes other base metal companies more. His suspicion is that if you own this for 3 or 4 years, you are going to be happy, but if you substitute names like Rio Tinto (RIO-N), BHP (BHP-N), or Teck (TECK.B-T), they will perform better with less risk.

This has fallen from $12 to $7.67. He sold some recently at about $9.50, and is looking for an entry point right about here. The reason for this is zinc. The company is basically zinc/copper 50-50. He likes the near term potential for zinc. When zinc moves, we could be in a situation that is referred to as “the pinch point” where you get a spike up because inventories are so low. Zinc could go to $2, just like met coal went from $90-$300, when inventories get tight. Dividend yield of 0.26%. (Analysts’ price target is $11.)

Historically, base metal stocks have done very well from around mid-November, right through until about now. On both a seasonal and technical basis, this is the time to take some money off the table.

Thinks there will be another leg up in the sector, and this company will be a beneficiary of that. It has probably not performed as well as some of its peers, but at current prices it is still a fairly good buy. Constancia is doing very well for them. They have some projects in line for development over the next few years. A lot of their big spends are behind them. This would be one of his top choices in the sector.

Mainly a copper producer with some great assets in north and south America and they are building new mines. He likes copper and where it is going. There have been a number of projects globally where there have been strikes or problems with many companies, so supply has been sort of tempered throughout the year. Global growth is slowly kicking back in, and copper is one of the 1^st ones that really moves with the economy.

This got negative reaction last week because of 2 of its projects, but feels it was an overreaction to the technical update in terms of costs for the Rosemont zinc project. He continues to like this. It also has good copper exposure. He would be patient with this over the next couple of months.

Zinc and copper. He’s been happy owning this over the years. A well-managed company. They’ve made good investments to expand their production out of Manitoba and into south America. Have some really good mines in both countries. Zinc gives you the near term kind of kick, while copper is the metal that everybody is questioning as to what is going to happen to it in 2020-2022. A nice way to participate in the metals rally.

(A Top Pick Feb 4/16. Up 218%.) At the time, they were having some logistical issues at some of their primary mines. The company has become much more focused.

He likes this company. If looking for exposure to copper and zinc, 2 of the better metals out there, this is the play. Good assets in Canada and south America. It had a great year last year, but he still sees about a 20% upside. Production is going to continue to grow. There was a management change last year, but it seems that the new group is doing a good job.

He likes the materials stocks, but prefers TECK.B-T or FM-T. It is spot on his EBV. $15.99 is his model price at 55% over the trading price. Any positive news and these stocks should explode upward.

Believes this could still have some room to run. They have reached a point where a lot of their major CapX is behind them with a lot of mines now coming on stream. They had lagged the others for quite a while, and have just recently started to catch up. Prospects could be quite positive going forward.

He likes the space but plays it through FM-T and TECK.B-T. HBM-T is coming out of the blue as it went above EBV -3, so you should buy it. The model price is $12.78, a 50% upside. You should have material stocks in your portfolio. They are acting well.

This has copper, but also has a lot of zinc. Zinc is the preferred metal, and is typically used for galvanizing steel. As steel demand picks up, demand for zinc picks up as well. This company is located in safe jurisdictions.