Opinions
Gordon Reid
Goldman Sachs
GS-N
BUY ON WEAKNESS
Feb 03, 2025
Stock price when the opinion was issued
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Of the big banks, they are the most levered to investment banking, including IPOs. He bought it expecting an uptick in IPOs under Trump, but his tariffs have temporarily derailed that. The IPO revival should happen if tariffs don't return. This pulled back hard since mid-February because of those tariffs, down 35%.
Is perfectly positioned for the tailwinds under the Trump presidency. After April's tariffs, corporate boards have been sitting and waiting, reluctant to do deals, but a strong capital market will eventually happen. Pays a good dividend and are very well-capitalized.
(Analysts’ price target is $596.61)The capital markets banks are all performing really well. That tells you something about the rest of the market; if investors are focusing on these banks, then they must have a view that lots of deals will be done and that capital markets provide a good opportunity. He'd buy more.
He's not a good trader. To paraphrase: "There are bull markets and bear markets, but at the end GS wins." We've seen that this quarter with respect to their trading profits. It's been a great way to play capital markets forever, and all the banks' capital markets divisions are doing well.
Likes them both, as well as others in the sector. Don't look at the chart and not buy because it's gone up so much and you've "missed" the price move. Instead, look at the fundamentals -- have earnings, cashflow, revenue growth kept up with the price? Or, look to how it's trading against historical valuations.
He added not so long ago. Excellent opportunity, mainly on capital markets side. Good economy, reduced regulation. Unlike other areas of the market, valuations in financials are not extended, so there's opportunity.