Alphabet IncGOOGBUY ON WEAKNESSFeb 20, 2026Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jul 10, 2026. Market Open.
Fears that AI would eat its lunch. Harder for Anthropic to monetize a new tool than for GOOG to take AI and apply it to a business model that it already monetizes. Muscle memory of the populace gravitates to GOOG to find information. Probably thrives in the new AI world, until something more disruptive comes along.
AI monetization is happening, and AI Mode has been a game changer. Stronger cloud growth (revenue grew 63% YOY last quarter, tremendous), broader monetization across platforms. Search and advertising remain strong, lots of cashflow. Also a great ecosystem.
Good growth, but relatively decent valuation. Yield is 0.25%.
A year ago, consensus was that Search was going to die. Seems ridiculous now. Gemini is overtaking ChatGPT. Data centre business is growing faster than before. Still not that expensive. He hasn't sold any shares yet, but may take some off the table from the long-term holding and put toward one of the Mag 7 laggards.
One of her highest-conviction tech positions. Massive run. She sees concerns about spending as an opportunity. Trades ~22-23x forward PE and lots of cashflow, still reasonably priced for what you get. She's not trimming. Upside of 15-20% would not be a surprise.
2025 proved that its various businesses are accelerating together, not trading off against each other. Spending ramp up is big, but so is the opportunity. Any weakness is a reason to add.