Alphabet IncGOOGTOP PICKMay 19, 2016Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jul 10, 2026. Market Open.
Fears that AI would eat its lunch. Harder for Anthropic to monetize a new tool than for GOOG to take AI and apply it to a business model that it already monetizes. Muscle memory of the populace gravitates to GOOG to find information. Probably thrives in the new AI world, until something more disruptive comes along.
AI monetization is happening, and AI Mode has been a game changer. Stronger cloud growth (revenue grew 63% YOY last quarter, tremendous), broader monetization across platforms. Search and advertising remain strong, lots of cashflow. Also a great ecosystem.
Good growth, but relatively decent valuation. Yield is 0.25%.
A year ago, consensus was that Search was going to die. Seems ridiculous now. Gemini is overtaking ChatGPT. Data centre business is growing faster than before. Still not that expensive. He hasn't sold any shares yet, but may take some off the table from the long-term holding and put toward one of the Mag 7 laggards.
Largest Internet Company globally, specializing in search and advertising. They control 74% of the US Internet search engine market, and nearly 60% of the global search ad revenue. With the YouTube volume growth, increasing mobile ad sales and more cost controls, that should continue to drive the bottom and top lines. Trading pretty cheap at 20X forward earnings. 15% long-term growth rate, gives it a 1.3X PEG, which is pretty good for a large cap technology brand. Added to his position last month in the $705 area. Thinks it can get back up to the $800 level quite easily.