50% off Premium Yearly
Alphabet IncGOOGTOP PICKFeb 24, 2016Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 18, 2026. Market Open.
AI monetization is happening, and AI Mode has been a game changer. Stronger cloud growth (revenue grew 63% YOY last quarter, tremendous), broader monetization across platforms. Search and advertising remain strong, lots of cashflow. Also a great ecosystem.
Good growth, but relatively decent valuation. Yield is 0.25%.
A year ago, consensus was that Search was going to die. Seems ridiculous now. Gemini is overtaking ChatGPT. Data centre business is growing faster than before. Still not that expensive. He hasn't sold any shares yet, but may take some off the table from the long-term holding and put toward one of the Mag 7 laggards.
Doing great. Worries about Search becoming obsolete were baseless, though its share of searching will fall. However, the pie will expand and so total revenue will grow. Gemini has a leadership position in AI.
Plus there's YouTube -- about 23% global streaming share and caters to shorter attention spans. Waymo also adds to this very powerful compounder.
Valuation looks very attractive relative to other growth oriented technology companies. Trading at 21X forward earnings with a 16% long-term growth rate. Has a 1.3X PEG ratio, which is very cheap in the S&P 500. They control 73% of the search engine space in the US, and over 50% of the global search ad revenue. Those things are going to grow organically. The new CFO is doing a lot of great things to help with transparency. Down 9%-10% year to date, which is a pretty good buying opportunity.