Alphabet IncGOOGPAST TOP PICKMay 25, 2015Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jul 10, 2026. Market Open.
Fears that AI would eat its lunch. Harder for Anthropic to monetize a new tool than for GOOG to take AI and apply it to a business model that it already monetizes. Muscle memory of the populace gravitates to GOOG to find information. Probably thrives in the new AI world, until something more disruptive comes along.
AI monetization is happening, and AI Mode has been a game changer. Stronger cloud growth (revenue grew 63% YOY last quarter, tremendous), broader monetization across platforms. Search and advertising remain strong, lots of cashflow. Also a great ecosystem.
Good growth, but relatively decent valuation. Yield is 0.25%.
A year ago, consensus was that Search was going to die. Seems ridiculous now. Gemini is overtaking ChatGPT. Data centre business is growing faster than before. Still not that expensive. He hasn't sold any shares yet, but may take some off the table from the long-term holding and put toward one of the Mag 7 laggards.
(A Top Pick June 2/14. Down 2.3%.) Kind of choppy, but they are not doing anything wrong. Hitting their numbers and everything is in place. The reasons to like this company are all still in place. What they own and deliver in Search is so important. Their acquisition strategy is exceptionally strong. Also, the android operating system, which he thinks is the most powerful operating system globally, is certainly the most used. They own it and they are giving it away for free, but this is an asset they are going to monetize as some point in time.