General Motors CorporationGMCOMMENTNov 24, 2016Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Oct 23, 2026. Market Open.
In late July, they reported an excellent quarter, taking shares to all-time highs. But oil prices have remained high and interest rates keep rising. GM has lost some of its gains, but is still up 49% this year. However, they just released heavy-duty truck models and have a growing digital services business. Business is holding up well.
It reported a strong quarter yesterday: a big revenue beat at 2% growth, an EPS beat, margin growth and raised their full-year forecast for the second-straight quarter. Their core North American business drove the good results with steady customary demand. Full-size SUVs are in strong demand and leading the market. Amazing execution. Trades at a cheap almost-6x PE, there's plenty of upside, especially if peace breaks out between US and Iran.
#2 market share (at 13%) in EVs in the States behind TSLA. Throttling back EV aspirations, still mostly about internal combustion. Street's expecting compound earnings growth of 13% over coming 3 years (pretty good for a mature industry). Trades at 6x PE.
Pretty good chart. A MAGA-protected stock. Cyclical tailwinds. He's not averse to owning.
Tariff talk put it in the crosshairs. But it's executed very well. Tariffs are still a headwind. Reconstructed business plan and moved away from EVs. Maintained good cashflow, and he's expecting ~$12 EPS this year.
CEO has done a fabulous job. Very inexpensive 7x PE. Yield is 0.91%.
What's interesting about some of these domestic automakers is that they handily outperformed TSLA.
Super-cyclical. Depends on the consumer, interest rates and, of course, CUSMA. That said, technicals look fine -- higher highs and higher lows. Has to continue to execute. Buying back shares, increasing dividend.
A better company today than it was 15 years ago, when they had all kinds of debt, etc. Donald Trump said he would discontinue NAFTA. If that happens, auto prices would shoot up, demand goes down, which would be very negative for the sector. Assuming he doesn’t do that, there is a big stimulus package going on that is bullish for wages and bullish for autos. The other factor is ride sharing. This company said they don’t expect ride sharing to have a big impact on auto sales, but of course, the verdict is still out. All these stocks look cheap today because PEs are so low. That is often a warning sign for investors. If this economy slows down, and Europe doesn’t pull itself back into growth pretty soon, the auto sector could be in for weaker earnings, and therefore the PE of 6 today might be a PE of 15 tomorrow.