Stockchase Opinions

John Zechner Market Vectors Jr Gold Miners ETF GDXJ-N TOP PICK Feb 23, 2023

USD weakening, especially if interest rates peak, should benefit gold. Gold stocks are trading at multi-decade lows. The ETF avoids taking on geopolitical or individual mining risk. There's more growth here than in the larger players, plus more potential for takeout activity.

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BUY
Gold outlook He likes gold now, though he's not a gold bug. He holds 15-20% gold, split between gold and silver miners. Silver is actually outperforming tech. Gold and silver are catching up to metals now, and have a long way to go given continued stimulus. He's long gold. Gold will be the most important theme in the market.
BUY

GDXJ gives him blanket exposure in gold. He owns a lot of gold stocks, including Newmont, Barrick and Kirkland Lake. You can get exposure to juniors through Dundee Precious Metals (he owns). All are interesting. GDXJ is not a bad way to get gold exposure.

HOLD
Pretty bullish on gold. Looks for company-specific drivers that will increase the value of a company, even if gold is flat. For example, Wesdome and B2B Gold, which are raising dividends through capital allocation. The ETF has higher beta exposure to the gold price. As long as the commodity keep working, you'll be OK.
BUY

Likes gold, but prefers the mid-size and juniors for more upside, better valuations, more opportunities. Starting to bounce, but still more potential in some of those names. Doesn't want the big players. 

SELL

He sold gold recently. Gold has a lid on it somewhere around $2000. Not a bad chart. You're hoping it will break out and, based on history, it may not. You could make up reasons for it to, but until it breaks out and lasts for more than just a few days, he doesn't trust any of those reasons and just goes by the chart. 5/10 for him.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Good for when US Fed rates cuts interest rates.
Not a great spot for gold now.
Wait to buy.
Lots of short term noise that is bad for gold. 

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Fall usually a good season for gold.
Pressure on gold supply from US Treasury tough on gold prices this year.
Looking to buy some gold in the next 1-2 quarters, waiting for weakness in gold prices.

BUY
ETF for gold producers.

XGD and ZGD are the Canadian go-to names. ZGD is equal weight, so the big caps don't run the show.

In the US, he likes GDX or GDXJ (for the juniors).

PARTIAL SELL

This name is further down the food chain. Take a look at the more interesting mid-size players. Still, he's been lightening up on gold. With a strong USD, and interest rates possibly being higher, gold may take a few steps back. So he's waiting to see how things shake out.