Stockchase Opinions

John StephensonGrande Cache Coal Corp.GCE.TOHOLDSep 28, 2011

Meteorological coal used in steel making. Cheap as a stock. Misses in terms of production and guidance issues. There is a consolidation theme in the industry. It could be a takeover target. But he still thinks it is a little risky.
$4.98

Stock price when the opinion was issued

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PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Aug 19/11. Up 59.84%.) This company was acquired.

TOP PICK
A lot of the cyclical stocks have come under big pressure. This one has been missing some of their production estimates and earnings for this year but thinks it will ultimately be acquired. Expecting it to get around $12 a share.
PARTIAL BUY
Great little company that produces high-quality coal. It has high costs producing. If China slows down, and it could, this would be the canary in the coal mine because of high costs. Feels that China will be fine. Buy now to start with the idea of making further purchases when it drops further.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick July 23/10. Up 51.85%.) Good chance they could get taken out.
BUY
Strong upward trend since the early part of 2009. This is the right space to be in. Seasonality, there could be a short summer run. Good risk/reward right now.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick July 23/10. Up 30.03%.)
DON'T BUY
Depends on your view of Chinese demand for met coal. Thinks their demand is going to fall during the last half of the year. This company is an emerging kind of growth producer but still relatively small. Prefers thermal coal. (See Top Picks.)
HOLD
It could go a little bit higher, but it’s getting close to full valuation of $11-$12 unless coal continues to go higher.
HOLD
Underlying leverage is coking coal price. High cost producers so you have to be positive on prices staying high. He thinks it will and maybe goes higher. Should do well in the next couple of years.
BUY
Torrential rains in Australia have been pushing coal prices. Likes this company and coal. Stock price is moving sideways and is probably getting ready to move back up again.
PARTIAL SELL
Looking at the different coal producers, he feels it is pretty close to the end for coal. If you are long, he would reduce.
SELL ON STRENGTH
Prefers Westshore Terminals (WTE.UN-T). Expects this could get past $7. If you own, look for $7-$7.25 as an exit point.
TOP PICK
Strong producers. Likes metallurgical coal. Valuations have this as an exceptionally cheap stock.
BUY
Good company. Operating update last week was pretty good. Great leverage to the world's steel markets.