Richard CroftiShares Xinhua China 25 ETFFXICOMMENTOct 10, 2013

Likes the ASHR market. The question is whether the risks around the tech cold war with China is fully priced in. China relative to the rest of the world is pretty fair value. Plays China through KBA and nibbling away at it.

Of all his holdings, this one is the most contentious. Clients are deeply skeptical about China. Yes, there is debt, yes it is a Communist country, but look closer and see that China is moving in the right direction. Holds Chinese companies (60% of them banks) in Hong Kong. Since early 2016, Chinese banks are among the best-performing assets classes in the world. Doesn't see Chinese banks imploding.

If North Korea gets really out of hand and China has to intervene, will it take this sector down? These are basically the 10 biggest businesses in China. If there is an outbreak of actual tensions, she thinks these names will hold in a lot better because they are so well run.

His weighting in China is reasonably low. For the next 12-24 months, there is going to be a lot of back-and-forth between the US and China. It probably doesn’t put China in the best position from a negotiation point of view, given that they have such a large trade surplus with the US. He would be a little wary, but the China economy looks very strong right now. He would have a look at Tencent (TCEHY-5) instead, which he owns.

(Top Pick Mar 5/15, Down 18.56%) It is now right at a breakdown level and is a time to take a small loss. This is a thesis that is not working. He is looking to dispose of this one.

(A Top Pick Jan 8/15. Down 13.08%.) This is an investment that he would buy today. It is a longer term holding for him. China has to get going if the world is going to go. He thinks there is going to be a long devaluation coming, surprising the Fed a little.