Stockchase Opinions

Christopher Blumas Franco-Nevada Corp. FNV-T WEAK BUY Sep 17, 2019

One of the few gold companies to consider, to create value. Others have destroyed shareholder value. FNV is based on a royalty structure and has done well over time. Problem is the current valuation is now high. (He owns no gold now.) In gold, look at the streamers or hard gold itself.
$123.300

Stock price when the opinion was issued

precious metals
It's the ideal tool to help you make quicker, more informed decisions for managing and tracking your investments.

You might be interested:

BUY
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research

Gold ounces sold were 110,264, down 35% year over year. EPS was 75 vs 95c last year, and estimates 81c. EBITDA fell 19% to $221.9M and below estimates $237M. Results are fairly weak considering the price of gold rose 18% vs the comparable quarter. Guidance was moved to the lower end of the prior range. FNV did announced another smelter royalty. A disappointing quarter, but we think the decline today reflects the picture. We would continue to see it more as a BUY. We also quite like the sector outlook currently. 
Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jul 19/23, Down 9.3%)

Better stocks in the space such as OR, WPM, or AGI. FNV is catching up, and in the long, long run it will perform well. But right now, it's lagging, so he'd rotate out.

TOP PICK

Is a great way to get exposure to gold without taking too much risk. Best balance sheet, assets, management etc. Don't need to take risky bets in lower end of the market. Great way to get returns for the long term investor. 

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Dec 20/23, Up 20%)

Optionality for copper mine in Panama to be restarted; if it does, could see a sharp snapback in shares. Gold rally has helped all their gold royalty streams.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Dec 12/23, Up 16%)

The bellwether gold stock globally. Great range of assets. Very good balance sheet. Spectacular corporate culture. If you don't own it, you should. Expects a settlement in Panama, and the stock would rerate.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Dec 15/23, Up 14%)

Still suffering the shut-down of the Panama mine, though new discussions may arise about it. FNV has no debt. Arbitration could happen. Once Panama is back on line, FNV shares will resume their climb. He bought this just after the Panama situation. He's happy to hold this long term.

BUY

Gold is almost like an insurance policy. Good diversifier. Should be a good, long-term hedge. Deposits have become harder to find. 

He prefers the business model of the royalty companies like FNV or WPM. As well, they operate counter-cyclically -- give money when gold prices are low and harvest when prices are high. Always looks expensive, but it's expensive for a reason.

DON'T BUY

His go-to name for a streamer, but he owns no gold right now as valuations have risen so much.

TOP PICK

They buy the profit streams from miners; they don't own the mines. No debt and lots of cash. When the mining metals cycle is cheap, FNV will buy royalty streams cheaply. When the cycle improves, profits and cash levels will rise. A Canadian national champion.

BUY

They don't take on production and environmental risks, being a royalty company. They just cash the cheques, but their valuation has always been high. They took a big hit when their Panama gold operation was shut down; maybe that mine will reopen. Is in a volatile sector. Great balance sheet and history. Likes it and the sector now.