Followed this for years and is on his watch list. In the last 2-3 years, the chart shows a period where it was at $0.30 where it stayed for a long time. Thinks there was a tremendous overreaction by the government because of a lot of problems. Through their history, they have really helped a lot of people buy houses.
Very interesting contrarian play. Government seems to like to destroy things that have worked for a long time. At a certain point in time, they don’t work as well but the question is, what are they going to replace them with. You have to steel yourself to deal with companies like this.
Fannie Mae (FNM-N) and Freddie Mac (FRE-N) could fade into obscurity but he doesn't think this will happen. US government will do whatever it takes to backstop them. Good for a short-term trade but wouldn't bank on it for the long-term.
Fannie Mae (FNM-N) and Freddie Mac (FRE-N) were mainstays of the US economy but are now penny stocks. Were touted as prime blue chips for years. If you want a high risk, this could be a place to do it. Feels the risk is far less than it was before because US government has not completely moved in. Tremendous upside over time.
Preferred Shares: Don’t be tempted. Basically, the bailout took about 80% of the capital from them and put it into government hands. Doesn't think there was any provision for the protection of the preferred shareholders.
In most people's mind, the US government supports the debt of Fannie Mae (FNM-N) and Freddie Mac (FRE-N) so their debt is secure. The question is, what are they going to do with the stocks, and very importantly the preferred stocks. They are down about 50% and there is a lot of concern that they could get wiped out.
The model price is $4.26 using a March balance sheet. Not a private enterprise company but is actually government owned so doesn't follow the rules like everybody else. Has never issued a statement for the last 3 years.
Followed this for years and is on his watch list. In the last 2-3 years, the chart shows a period where it was at $0.30 where it stayed for a long time. Thinks there was a tremendous overreaction by the government because of a lot of problems. Through their history, they have really helped a lot of people buy houses.