Stockchase Opinions

David CockfieldFirst Calgary PetroleumsFCP.TOBUYJan 23, 2006

Thinks the stock has bottomed. They have a good asset there. Thinks there will be a buyer.
$9.93

Stock price when the opinion was issued

oilgas
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TRADE
His brother is the new CEO, but does not talk to him about it. Deal being contemplated with an Italian firm buying it. The asset is spectacular – gas fields in Algeria. It’s a complicated, tortured company with a horrendous past. He owns the bonds.
DON'T BUY
(Market Call Minute.) Too speculative for him.
SELL
Big hiccup was financing for the Algerian properties and it looks like they will get it by the end of this year. All their finagling has pushed production to the 2nd, maybe 3rd quarter of 2011. Doesn't look like they are going to have as much natural gas liquids as the market expected. No catalyst for a couple of years.
HOLD
Have a large potential find that they need to develop and it’s a financing issue. Whether they can make a go of that is an open question and they probably will. It’s going to be a little bit of tough sledding.
HOLD
Infrastructure in Algeria is a bit on the weak side. Their best bet on marketability is to liquefy it and send it out as LNG. Huge development. Some uncertainty around financing.
HOLD
(Market Call Minute.) There has been a change in management so you have to see how things play out.
DON'T BUY
Oil/gas in Algeria. Gas, which is harder to ship, has to go into Italy or Spain and is a little more difficult to generate cash flow. Oil exploration has been somewhat disappointing. Other international plays have better risk/rewards.
DON'T BUY
Liquid rich gas and some oil in Algeria. Very good success with the drill bit. Problems are twofold. 1) How much money are you going to make at the end of the day with the Algerian government? 2) They need hundreds of millions of dollars to bring this project into existence. Too risky even for him.
DON'T BUY
Natural gas discoveries in Algeria. He is not crazy about Algeria. He is also concerned about how long it is taking for these investments to come on. Recently had some good news so is moving on. A lot of risk here.
BUY
Something is stirring. Issued a statement today about shareholder proposals. Have solidified their arrangements with the oil/gas company in Algeria.
HOLD
Algerian gas play. This is a name that you could start to get a little more excited about. They completed an engineering and design study. They need to secure $750 million and will likely get it. Once they start producing it will probably get some interest by the market. It's a May-June story.
DON'T BUY
He has a short-term Short on this stock. They have a decent asset, but it's going to cost a lot of money to get it to market. They seem to have a consistent need for new capital.
HOLD
(Market Call Minute.) Massacred over the past year. They have just raised more money with a debenture.
DON'T BUY
Has a problem with this one. Not a question of finding natural gas. Have announced fabulous numbers on the discovery side. The problem is, how much will they make at the end of the day given the desire of the Algerian government to take more for themselves.
TRADE
A lot of concern about the fiscal regime.