Stockchase Opinions

Ryan Bushell Enbridge ENB-T BUY Nov 30, 2021

Pembina, Transcanada and Enbridge as a dividend investment over 5 years? He owns all three. They all pay over a 6% dividend on average. ENB is down on the news that the Canadian regulator has rejected the tolling agreement on the main line. He doesn't see this as a huge deal for ENB though; obviously it would be nice to see at least of this contracted. Perhaps they went too hard on the amount of contracting they were seeking. But it's a mess, given the lack of pipeline capacity. Investors need to be focused on LNG in the middle/later part of this decade which will really boost demand for natural gas and its infrastructure; all three companies will participate in this, though ENB the least. ENB has new oil pipeline capacity with their Line 3 replacement strategy completed last month. Compounding the 6% dividend alone means the share doesn't need to perform much to deliver you a good return over 5-10 years.
$47.880

Stock price when the opinion was issued

oil gas pipelines
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DON'T BUY

If the leading sectors in the market are those that would benefit from a more inflationary environment (financials, materials, industrials, some energy), and they are, you want to look at the groups that are not. Things that act like bonds (utilities, staples, REITs, pipelines) are underperforming.

It could be that people piled into defensives in April, but they just haven't performed. So with other groups that are economically sensitive performing, the defensive groups are being used as a source of cash. Great dividend, and that will grow mid-single digits. He'd rather be leaning towards hedging against inflation than disinflation (which is where a pipeline would come in).

BUY

Great income name. Gets nat gas where it needs to go. Yield is 6%, and dividend grows 2-3% a year. Overall, you're looking at a 9% total return on a long-term basis. Improved capital structure by selling a pipeline in BC. Well managed.

BUY

Likes all the pipelines. Energy infrastructure spending is a huge area for Canada over the next number of years. This name is a prime beneficiary. Good dividend yield. 

COMMENT
Write a short-term covered call?

The thing about this one is that the call premiums can often be weighed down by dividends. So if you're going to sell calls on something with a higher dividend, and it's a lower-volatility name, you can expect the option premium to be small. Not something he'd do, as it has a pretty good yield already of 6-7%.

STRONG BUY

Stable dividend, 30 years of consecutive dividend growth. Solid revenue pipeline, which is regulated. Earnings growth in mid-single range. Pretty healthy outlook for the stock. Price of oil has somewhat stabilized. Yield is 6%.

If you don't need the income right now, sign up for the DRIP.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

The kind of stock everyone can own. Dollar-cost average in, and hold long term. Consistent, reliable, pseudo-utility though it falls under energy. Not high growth or a high ROC, as it's very capital intensive. Dividend chart and payout ratio look fantastic.

BUY
ENB vs. BMO

Banks look to be extended, but pipelines seem to be reaccelerating (TRP, ENB). Given his view about a potential correction coming soon, doesn't mind rotating a bit out of BMO and putting some into ENB. Likes the breakout, and thinks it's more defensive-related, not energy-related.

If you look at the Commitment of Traders data (published every Friday), commercial hedgers (considered the "smart money") have been hedging crude oil less (which means they've been going longer). Something interesting is happening there.

BUY
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research

ENB has done well, and offers a solid secure dividend. We would remain quite comfortable buying it in the low $64 range. 
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BUY

You should take note of the litigation issue and remember that the news and media can move a stock. However she doesn't see anything being detrimental over the longer term. The natural gas side is picking up although the oil side is under a bit of pressure. She thinks Enbridge can adapt. The dividend is over 6%.

BUY

Technical analysts love to give fancy names to chart patterns ;)  The 5-year for this name is showing a cup and handle -- with that rounded bottom, perhaps a little pullback, and then a breakout and consolidation. Also a nice swing trade. Now testing the breakout point, and successfully so. Looks good.