Stockchase Opinions

Norman Levine Enbridge ENB-T BUY May 29, 2018

Owns it. Has been a great stock for them for many years, had some issues more recently. Had some issues because they couldn’t get Northern Gateway to pass. They own pipelines, gas utilities, wind farms, etc. which gives a guaranteed rate of returns, but you need to grow, so they wanted to do Northern Gateway but that was taken away from them. Now in the process of replacing Old line 3 going through the U.S., hopefully that will go through. But most recently bought Spectra Energy and probably took on too much debt to do that. Thinks its over sold now and will see some recovery. Not going to make a lot of money with pipelines and utilities while the interest rates go up.

$39.820

Stock price when the opinion was issued

oil gas pipelines
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BUY
Retiree wants income and less volatility.

Canadian infrastructure name. She owns for income in client portfolios. Robust business model. Often has long-term, take-or-pay contracts; visible cashflow stream. Guided that it can grow EBITDA (cashflows) by single digits over next few years. She'd expect dividend increases to reflect that. 

Stock's pulled back with underlying commodity prices. Should have lower volatility than energy producers. Yield is ~6%.

BUY

Great income investment with its great dividend yield. Plans to expand main line and continue capex. Returning $$ to shareholders. Has become more US-based. Great story, continues to execute well, plans in place for future.

BUY
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research

Q1 EPS of $1.03 beat estimates of 96c; revenue of $18.5B beat estimates handily. EBITDA of $5.82B beat estimates by 4.9%. 2025 guidance was affirmed. It was a broad 'beat' across the board. EBITDA rose 18%. EPS rose 12%. Distributable cash rose 9.1%. We would consider the results very strong.
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RISKY

A quality Canadian dividend payer. The risk in any dividend stock is that the dividend can become too large for the company to pay, so they cut it, like BCE just did. He prefers ZWU.

DON'T BUY

It has run up quite a bit and its value today is where it has peaked in the past. It has benefited from interest rate cuts and has exposure to natural gas and LNG.

HOLD

Reasonable valuation. Doing exactly what they said they would. Lots of capex projects, small ones and larger ones, well diversified. Today announced asset sale, so proceeds can fund growth instead of having to issue equity. Yield is almost 6%, with growth.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Apr 30/24, Up 38%)

We now have a gateway to Asia. With tariffs, Canadian energy will not be welcome in the US. Integrated nature of its pipelines make it a long-term asset with growth capabilities that will reward shareholders well. Buy when it goes on sale, trim any gains. Good place to be, core holding for him.

BUY

Where will supply shift? This year, the Canadian E&Ps are outproducing all other international E&Ps, including Europe, US or Australia. He also bought ENB, which delivers the crude oil to the US. The US refiners have an insatiable need for Canadian oil. There's a 10% tariff on Canadian oil. Well, guess what--the Canadian oil companies are not eating the tariff, but rather the US refiners. If there's a shift in supply (given Mideast tensions), Canada will be able to supply that oil. US energy companies have a -12% earnings estimate this year vs. Canadian energy of only -0.20%

BUY ON WEAKNESS

A lot of defensive names ran up recently as people used them as places to hide. Valuation still very attractive. Dividend yield is quite strong. Growth outlook is reasonable. Reasonable name for income. Attractive entry point would be something below $60. Yield is 6.1%.

BUY

Does fluctuate a bit with the price of oil, but not as much as a producer. Attractive income name. Federal government's infrastructure plan would be positive for pipelines, albeit a few years away. Yield is close to 6%, and the dividend increases every year.