Stockchase Opinions

Bill Harris, CFA Exchange Income EIF-T BUY Mar 11, 2024

It is unique in the commercial flying business in Canada. It has a very good track record, but there doesn't seem to be a catalyst for growth going forward. He owns it in their income portfolio since its great rate of return means that shareholders are participating in its profitability.

$48.430

Stock price when the opinion was issued

Transportation & Environmental Services
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HOLD
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research

EPS of 80c missed estimates of 85c; Revenue of $660.5M missed estimates of $678.1M. EBITDA of $157M beat estimates of $152.8M. Revenue rose 5.3%. EBITDA rose 6.8%. Guidance was largely maintained. The manufacturing segment is seeing some customer wariness and less bookings. It is a cyclical segment and we would not really consider this a red flag to the company. The stock is cheap and the payout at 61% (up from 57%) remains OK. 
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PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Nov 08/23, Up 29%)

Getting into intelligence and surveillance globally. Manufacturing is weak now due to macro environment, but sees it turning around. Likes it for yield and growth.

HOLD

Holding company, without much integration between assets. Not much value creation from acquiring and running assets. Wouldn't expect it to outperform the market by a lot. Fair value right now, a hold.

HOLD

Beat on aviation in Q3, raised 2025 guidance on the back of their latest acquisition of Spartan. Lumpy, not as steady a compounder as BIP.UN. Always kind of cheap, now 13x PE for 2026 and growing 17%. Nice dividend, which will probably be boosted; payout ratio is fine. 

Not for everyone. Small cap that gets forgotten, so that's a good reason to own.

WATCH

Would be less exposed to any tariffs imposed.

BUY

Their transportation business in the far north is largely a monopoly. They've bought some fine companies and pay a good dividend, but leaves little cash. So when they buy a company, they do an equity issue. Some of their businesses are highly protected with a moat, good. But their industrial business carries economic/tariff risk. Dividend, valuation and management are all good. An income, not a growth stock.

WAIT

Business is 80% aviation, 20% manufacturing. Recent acquisition looks accretive. Trades ~12x, growing ~16%. Money's flowing into safer areas like this one. Good balance sheet. Payout ratio is 68%, will probably boost dividend in the next year or two. Real growth engine is from being in the north and having really good pricing power.

Only thing is, if we're in for rocky markets, you'll probably get a chance to buy cheaper.

BUY

Extremely well managed. Trying to buy a company in Australia that does search & rescue there. Likes it, in his income fund. Profitable businesses that are protected, with opportunities to grow.

BUY

Chart looks very decent. At, or close to, an all-time high. Might see a bit of resistance, but looks to have some good upward motion. Trying to break out, and looks as though it can. Yield is 4.6%.

Could easily drop to $54. Not a lot of support below $50, so start reducing if it gets there.

RISKY

The chart is very volatile. A rollercoaster. Is now breaking out and could keep going or pull back. If this break out lasts for a while, he would buy it.