Stephen Takacsy, B. Eng, MBA Canadian Pacific Rail CP-T BUY Apr 29, 2025

Cheaper on price to growth than CNR. 

Chart looks better and fundamentals work. When those 2 factors go hand in hand, it's quite compelling. Has outperformed CNR.

First-class management. Most unique footprint of any rail in NA. Tariff uncertainty impacts it the most, as it facilitates trade among US, Canada, and Mexico. It's held in really well. Attractive 20x PE, but tariffs will impact growth.

He did think about exiting, as he looked out over 4 years and saw potential economic weakness on the horizon. But it's a trophy asset, one to own long term. He decided to hold on, and to buy a bit more if it does get hit.

Good idea. She owns CNR. Together, CP and CNR have a duopoloy within Canada plus operations in the US. Rails have not performed that well this past year. Tariffs won't impact directly, but risk is that economic slowdown would affect volumes. CNR trades ~18x forward PE, and wide discount to CP, so she'd pick CNR.

Its main business is a great one and they have sold off their non-core assets. At 23X earnings it trades at a premium to the sector. The buying of the Kansas City line gives them a franchise from Canada to Mexico. It is good to buy for the long term as well as CN Rail.

Owned this years ago and should have hung on. Looking to get back into rails (possibly this name), hoping for a correction because of tariffs, but the market's too smart.

Owns both, core holdings. No one's building any more rails. Cheaper to ship commodities by rail than any other way. If an economic slowdown, traffic and volumes will slow down but it's still a pretty steady business. 

If the trade war goes on, everything gets more expensive and these two will be impacted negatively. But these events are always temporary. Trade wars are not good for inflation or the economy with US mid-term elections only 2 years away. He's trusting that rational minds will prevail.

CP has more catalysts from the Kansas City merger, and a better growth rate. Both are getting more attractive. If we get the all clear on the economy, both names will be decent entry points. Though optimistic, he's still a bit afraid, and wouldn't step in just yet.

Negatively impacted by trade. Economically sensitive. Likes the business. With its broad North American footprint, likes it better than CNR. More earnings upside from cost-cutting from KSU acquisition. Margins and cashflow are great for the rails. Constructive longer term, once tariff issues get sorted. Wait for more weakness.