Opinions
Brooke Thackray
CI Financial Corp
CIX-T
COMMENT
Dec 19, 2017
Stock price when the opinion was issued
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Premium contentWe reiterate this wealth manager of $395 billion of assets as a TOP PICK. I has closed on the 20% divestment of its US wealth business, which as allowed it repurchase over $700 million of its debentures. It trades at 1.6x book and 6x earnings. It pays a good dividend with a payout ratio of 1/3 of its cash flow. We continue to recommend a stop at $12, looking to achieve $18 -- upside potential of 18%. Yield 4.9%
(Analysts’ price target is $18.94)Premium contentPremium contentOur PAST TOP PICK with CIX has triggered its stop at $13.50. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time. This will result in a net investment loss of 12%, when combined with our previous recommendations.
Aggressive acquisition hunt for the last decade. Tough to be an independent in Canada, as Canadian banks control so much of net worth. He'd rather own the banks with their broader diversification. Warren Buffet says "A lousy industry will beat great management every time."
Building US business dramatically, planning to take public sometime in the future. Canadian side is well run, but the mutual funds business hasn't grown in years, perhaps 10% a year. Big dividend. Combining both sides of the business should garner a $35 stock price easily, $50 if they really tried. Yield is 4.6%.
(Analysts’ price target is $19.25)
They are in a tough industry being in mutual funds and trying to transition out. Saw a big decline from 2015 until 2016 and now we’ve just moved sideways when they should have been moving up. We are in seasonal period and financial companies tends to get strong at this time of the year. From a seasonal perspective, look at April to be getting out if you’re in it. He doesn’t see an exciting opportunity here. If they break above the $30 level that might actually be a good thing. Technically it’s looking OK despite being flat for most of the year.