Stockchase Opinions

Robert McWhirterCenterra Gold IncCG.TOTOP PICKFeb 07, 2020

This is all about free cash flow. He expects them to begin paying a dividend by June. It is trading at 3.9 times cash flow -- half their peer group. They expect a 37% growth in cash flow this year. Their all in cost to produce is $650 per ounce. Yield 0% (Analysts’ price target is $13.34)
$10.24

Stock price when the opinion was issued

precious metals
It's the ideal tool to help you make quicker, more informed decisions for managing and tracking your investments.

You might be interested:

HOLD

Interesting projects -- one in Canada, and one in Turkiye. Ranks fairly well in his process. The challenge is that there are so many gold companies right now that rank really well, many of them rank just a bit higher than this name.

Looks as though the move in gold can continue. That said, gold is very overbought on a short-term basis. When that happens, it's not unusual to see some pullback and consolidation.

PARTIAL BUY

It's good to be in gold now, and CG is one of the cheapest gold stocks. They've diversified their portfolio geographically, which is good, but this stock always bounces around.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Feb 07/20, Up 28%) Still on track for production. They will probably continue to do well. Still good upside for the company. The company trades at a discount due to its geographic location. Well-ranked by model.
DON'T BUY
He's leery of it. It's cheap on paper, but has ongoing political-social problems at one of their mines. Also, their BC mines have operational problems.
TOP PICK
They have been trying to diversify their risk away from the Republic. The stock has done very well since gold prices moved up. There is lots of upside potential. Earnings forecasts suggests analysts are getting bullish as gold prices go up. Yield 0% (Analysts’ price target is $13.61)
BUY
He doesn't like gold, because it's too volatile. CG has good volume, but be careful if this falls below $11--at that point, sell. The overall trend is positive.
BUY
Likes their operations in the Kyrgyz Republic and northern Canada. They just reached an agreement in the former to extend their operation and give them cost certainty. They just started production in northern Canada. They're one of the fastest-growing producers in the world. They also mine copper, though he's less crazy about that.
BUY
He likes CG, because the stock has held up nicely; money is coming in. It isn't pulling back as much as its peers. He has a $9 target. They're executing well by fine management.
HOLD
We have a nice little rounding bottom. It is going to run into resistance just under $8. It has gotten over its moving average at $6.15. It got back into its band, of the last few years, which is quite positive. It looks pretty good, although there are some better names.
COMMENT

They have a large, high-grade deposit but their geopolitical risk is very high. In recent years, they've been buying Canadian assets, till they now have a 55% NAV in Canada. Potential turnaround, but watch their balance sheet and generate free cash flow from their Canadian assets.

WEAK BUY

Very cheap. There is no technical or financial risk except for political risks.

COMMENT

It has been taken to the penalty box as a consequence of its mines being in places that people regard as geopolitical risky. Company has done an excellent job of acquiring assets and putting them into production and producing them efficiently. Selling at a discount to Book.

STRONG BUY

Trading above EBV -3, which is ‘coming out of the blue’. Model price is $10.62. He thinks it will go higher.

BUY

Central Asia is difficult. He likes their balance sheet.