Cameco CorporationCCO.TODON'T BUYOct 07, 2013Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 05, 2026. Market Open.
He owns some bonds, but hasn't pulled the trigger on the equity. Disconnect between a 10-year horizon for contracts and the current spot price for uranium. Spot price won't be showing up in the profitability.
If you've made money, well done. Remember that commodities tend to overshoot in either direction. Don't add at these levels.
Beat last quarter, but guidance was a bit lower. Very attractive, multi-year outlook, but don't add here. About 40% growth, but trading ~75x PE for 2027. Ironically, a real risk to this name is if peace comes to the Ukraine-Russia war.
You have to have respect for stock prices at both ends of the extreme.
Caught momentum from nuclear reinvigoration globally -- key driver for that `is AI demand. By far, nuclear is the most stable and cost-effective. However, building out reactors is not easy (not to mention regulatory hurdles).
Strong underlying trends with demand for uranium. Great name. Another, but safer, way to play indirectly is with ATRL.
CCO is not perfect but if an investor is looking for general exposure in a relatively safe company we would still prefer it today over smaller companies with less profitability.
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Looked at this over the last 3 years and looked at it again today. The underlying issue with uranium is that the supply should start to decline by around 2020, which is when a lot of the Russian uranium supply will be finished (from the nuclear arms). All the big uranium companies have aggressively been looking for uranium and spending a lot of money on it. On a valuation basis, it is still trading at about 15-16 times earnings so it doesn’t sound extremely cheap. Japanese nuclear reactors have come off stream for the most part. In the short term, he doesn’t see any reason to own this, but if the stock fell because of weakening earnings, you would get an entry point. For a long-term investor, there could be a lot of upside in the next decade or so. He would like to see it at around $15.