Cogeco CommunicationsCCA.TOTOP PICKJun 28, 2017Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Aug 04, 2026. Market Open.
Analysts see 25% upside, with a price target of ~$74. Still generates stable, recurring revenue from its essential services. Biggest challenge is competition. Still quality and defense. Headline loss looks alarming, though FCF increased 18%. Stay away till proof the US turnaround is working. Yield is above 6%.
She prefers QBR.B for its stronger long-term growth opportunities and more diversified business.
They have business in Ontario and Quebec, and a large cable business in some US states, but that is facing strong competition from fixed-wireless, fibre providers and satellite companies like Starlink. He's bearish all Canadian telcos, which are impacted by weak immigration and wireless competition is aggressive as the CRTC clamps down on fees and contracts. For Rogers, the business is mature and demands a lot of capex and carries $40B of debt.
Still adding new money. He uses a name like this to offset higher beta/risk names like CSU and BN in client TFSAs. Due to price competition, telcos haven't grown. Being further tested due to less immigration. Flipside is that a 6-7% yield and a 2-3% price gain would give you a 10% total return.
Problem is all the leverage taken on to build out 5G, but not getting an economic return from it. Because CCA could hop on the fibre network paid for by others, its stock price has gone up, while the others have gone down.
He bought it for the dividend, which grows 10% annually. All the telcos are down because they've had to borrow to upgrade to 5G, and rates have been high. Especially if rates decline, a lot of their debt will fall in the next 2 years and this oligopoly will enjoy profitablility.
Uncertain future, with RCI.B divesting its stake. Tough times with US broadband. Rogers is now in their backyard and ready to compete. Question marks, reflected in the share price. Won't see big dividend growth. Will investing in wireless give them more earnings? Wait a couple of quarters. Yield is 5.6%.
One of those stocks that hits all the boxes for him. It has strong price momentum, but still has great valuation, scoring in the top 10%. The only business they are not in is wireless. Cheap at 14X earnings and 16X ROE. Reasonably priced on an EV to EBITDA basis. They beat on their recent quarter and have some US growth opportunities with the cash flow that they generate. Dividend yield of 2.2%. (Analysts’ price target is $78.50.)