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Cogeco CommunicationsCCA.TODON'T BUYAug 19, 2026Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Aug 19, 2026. Market Open.
Analysts see 25% upside, with a price target of ~$74. Still generates stable, recurring revenue from its essential services. Biggest challenge is competition. Still quality and defense. Headline loss looks alarming, though FCF increased 18%. Stay away till proof the US turnaround is working. Yield is above 6%.
She prefers QBR.B for its stronger long-term growth opportunities and more diversified business.
They have business in Ontario and Quebec, and a large cable business in some US states, but that is facing strong competition from fixed-wireless, fibre providers and satellite companies like Starlink. He's bearish all Canadian telcos, which are impacted by weak immigration and wireless competition is aggressive as the CRTC clamps down on fees and contracts. For Rogers, the business is mature and demands a lot of capex and carries $40B of debt.
Still adding new money. He uses a name like this to offset higher beta/risk names like CSU and BN in client TFSAs. Due to price competition, telcos haven't grown. Being further tested due to less immigration. Flipside is that a 6-7% yield and a 2-3% price gain would give you a 10% total return.
Problem is all the leverage taken on to build out 5G, but not getting an economic return from it. Because CCA could hop on the fibre network paid for by others, its stock price has gone up, while the others have gone down.
Not a growth business. Now cashflow positive, and covering its dividend. New technology is coming, and it might be much cheaper and much faster. A melting ice cube.