CaterpillarCATWATCHJan 24, 2025Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Sep 11, 2026. Market Open.
Revenues are on fire, up 24% last quarter. Construction up 35% across the board, and 50% in NA. Power/energy grew 17%. Beneficiary of infrastructure and data centres. Bouncing around its 200-day MA, the level where you want to add great stocks like this. Trades at 21x PE for 2028, growing 20%. Cheaper on PEG ratio than FTT and WJX. You can buy all day long.
Don't forget it's highly cyclical. There will be a time when it's not the place to be. Concerns include China weakness and tariffs.
Not that URI isn't a good company, but he owns CAT. Earnings growth is 30% going forward, while URI is closer to 20%. You pay a little bit more for CAT, but it taps right into secular growth areas of power generation and data centres and manufacturer reshoring. Continues to impress. He's adding to new portfolios.
Right at the 200-day MA, which is an opportunity. Almost a Top Pick today.
His opinion is that we're in a structural bull market for materials, and that's when picks and shovels tend to do well. This name is dominant. Generator business has been selling into data centres. Pulled back on concerns about data centres. Lots of cash, production growth. A buying opportunity.
A top industrial name in his portfolio. Great valuation at 30x forward PE, 25% earnings growth rate. Global leader not just in construction and mining equipment, but in engines, generators, industrial turbines, and backup power systems -- the physical horsepower behind the digital economy.
Feeds into the need for AI data centres and so forth. Also benefits from infrastructure modernization, manufacturing reshoring, electrification, and critical minerals development. These are all super-cycles driving demand. Just raised full-year revenue outlook for Q2 earnings, which exceeded expectations. Very strong backlog. Yield is 0.76%.
Not just heavy yellow machinery anymore. Increasingly tied to power demand, electrification, industrial expansion, and the theme of reshoring. Sales targets for power generation segment have increased.
Backlog is ~$63B, very strong revenue visibility. About 25% earnings growth rate over next few years. Yield is 0.68%.
It reports Thursday, but decide after you hear the conference call so you can learn their future. CAT is no longer cyclical, but a secular grower due to a CEO pushing CAT into consistent end markets.