CaterpillarCATSELLJul 17, 2026Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jul 21, 2026. Market Open.
Not just heavy yellow machinery anymore. Increasingly tied to power demand, electrification, industrial expansion, and the theme of reshoring. Sales targets for power generation segment have increased.
Backlog is ~$63B, very strong revenue visibility. About 25% earnings growth rate over next few years. Yield is 0.68%.
He sold most of it. Trading at 35x forward PE is insane for a highly cyclical, capital-intensive company. It should be around 15x PE. We don't know how long this rally will last, but CAT has always been cyclical. He expects them to report a good quarter, though.