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CaterpillarCATSELLJul 17, 2026Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Aug 28, 2026. Market Open.
His opinion is that we're in a structural bull market for materials, and that's when picks and shovels tend to do well. This name is dominant. Generator business has been selling into data centres. Pulled back on concerns about data centres. Lots of cash, production growth. A buying opportunity.
A top industrial name in his portfolio. Great valuation at 30x forward PE, 25% earnings growth rate. Global leader not just in construction and mining equipment, but in engines, generators, industrial turbines, and backup power systems -- the physical horsepower behind the digital economy.
Feeds into the need for AI data centres and so forth. Also benefits from infrastructure modernization, manufacturing reshoring, electrification, and critical minerals development. These are all super-cycles driving demand. Just raised full-year revenue outlook for Q2 earnings, which exceeded expectations. Very strong backlog. Yield is 0.76%.
Not just heavy yellow machinery anymore. Increasingly tied to power demand, electrification, industrial expansion, and the theme of reshoring. Sales targets for power generation segment have increased.
Backlog is ~$63B, very strong revenue visibility. About 25% earnings growth rate over next few years. Yield is 0.68%.
He sold most of it. Trading at 35x forward PE is insane for a highly cyclical, capital-intensive company. It should be around 15x PE. We don't know how long this rally will last, but CAT has always been cyclical. He expects them to report a good quarter, though.