50% off Premium Yearly
CaterpillarCATDON'T BUYJun 18, 2026Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Aug 25, 2026. Market Open.
A top industrial name in his portfolio. Great valuation at 30x forward PE, 25% earnings growth rate. Global leader not just in construction and mining equipment, but in engines, generators, industrial turbines, and backup power systems -- the physical horsepower behind the digital economy.
Feeds into the need for AI data centres and so forth. Also benefits from infrastructure modernization, manufacturing reshoring, electrification, and critical minerals development. These are all super-cycles driving demand. Just raised full-year revenue outlook for Q2 earnings, which exceeded expectations. Very strong backlog. Yield is 0.76%.
Not just heavy yellow machinery anymore. Increasingly tied to power demand, electrification, industrial expansion, and the theme of reshoring. Sales targets for power generation segment have increased.
Backlog is ~$63B, very strong revenue visibility. About 25% earnings growth rate over next few years. Yield is 0.68%.
Hasn't owned, as it's always been too cyclical. Safer way to play mining. Ran so fast, so quickly. PE multiple north of 30x, so a lot of positive things are already baked in. FCF yield is very small. Growth profile quite robust, but if that were to get hit then valuation would come off.