CaterpillarCATDON'T BUYJun 18, 2026Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jul 15, 2026. Market Open.
Not just heavy yellow machinery anymore. Increasingly tied to power demand, electrification, industrial expansion, and the theme of reshoring. Sales targets for power generation segment have increased.
Backlog is ~$63B, very strong revenue visibility. About 25% earnings growth rate over next few years. Yield is 0.68%.
Hasn't owned, as it's always been too cyclical. Safer way to play mining. Ran so fast, so quickly. PE multiple north of 30x, so a lot of positive things are already baked in. FCF yield is very small. Growth profile quite robust, but if that were to get hit then valuation would come off.