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TSE:BPY.UN
Brookfield (BPY.UN-T) vs Canadian Apartment (CAR.UN-T) He thinks Brookfield has good management and is well diversified buy has had liquidity issues. He expects Canadian Apartment to continue to outperform, because it is focused on the Greater Toronto Area where vacancy is tight and rents continue to go up. He regrets not getting into CAR.UN-T.
Property companies are affected by changes in interest rates because they tend to be fairly levered, as well as by consumer behaviour. You are witnessing a very changing environment. The Brookfield group is a very complicated entity. He prefers to invest in the head of the chain, Brookfield Asset Management (BAM.A-T). From a yield point of view, a lot of people get attracted by the others in that group. It could be a while before there is a recovery in this sector.
This is pricey, trading at around 21X. Has about a 110% payout ratio, so distribution isn’t perfect. Q4 was a little light. However, he models very strong growth, 16% adjusted funds from operations growth 2016-2018. Trading at about 16% below his assumed NAV per unit. This is a name that you can be constructive on.
Trading at a substantial discount to NAV. In the properties space, and it is difficult to evaluate all their properties, as values do change. They are getting some better lease rates on some of their properties and disposing of some of their non-core holdings and repositioning those. There is talk of changing to a US REIT which might be positive for them. Dividend yield of 5%, and he could see some growth on this, maybe 10%-12%.
He sees $26 as a buy level, so he is watching closely. He is not sure of the fundamental drivers right now, but likes the technical chart. He would not add to a position unless it trades back above $27. It is better to average-up than average-down, he believes.