Bird ConstructionBDT.TOPARTIAL SELLJul 31, 2026Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jul 31, 2026. Market Open.
Margins are thinner in construction companies, so he typically doesn't buy in. With thinner margins, or cost overruns, easy to miss on a quarter. Great spot right now, stock's doing extremely well. Company's bigger than it was. Scrutinize the valuation. In the sector, hard assets seem to be a better bet than software-related services.
(Note the short timeframe.) Very bullish. Just because it's up 100%, doesn't mean it's time to sell. Exceptional backlog growth, margin expansion. Guidance is actually very conservative. Huge opportunity for data centres. Participating in Ring of Fire, which he's bullish on. More room to run over next several years.
On fire. A bit technically overbought. The $11B backlog is great. Data centre contract with BCE. Multiple's not expensive at 16x 2027 PE for 30% growth. Trades at a higher multiple than WSP and ATRL, as it's riskier. Try to get it cheaper.
Sentiment is the reverse for WSP and ATRL. Fears of AI disruption curtailing growth. Both look meritorious at these levels. He models 17% growth for ATRL at 14x PE. WSP models 17% growth at 12.5x PE. These 2 are more of a Buy, wouldn't sell.
Federal government and infrastructure are the keys here. Small cap, not a lot of eyeballs on it. He likes to get in early. It can grow on its own merits and organically to become a large-cap stock.
Over 75% of combined backlog is in a collaborative model. Moved from cyclical contractor to a more diversified infrastructure platform. Recently announced combined backlog of $10B -- multi-year revenue visibility. Should see steadier revenue and profitability growth. Up this year, but long road to go.
Pays dividend monthly. If FCF grows as he expects, dividend should grow. Yield is 1.87%.
No qualms about buying. General contractor that builds industrial buildings and infrastructure. Energy, defense, trade/transport, healthcare, nuclear. Good grower and compounder, growing dividend at a 10% compound pace over last 8 years. Trades at 15x PE, all-time highs. Strong chart with higher highs/lows. Market cap is fairly small at $2.3B. Yield is ~2%.
Some pretty high-profile contracts in its backlog or underway. Examples include Peel Memorial Hospital in the GTA, BHP Jansen potash mine, Bruce Power nuclear.
He has a better idea, though it's not a perfect substitute for this name. See his Top Picks.
Directly exposed to the Build Canada theme. 100% of its business is in Canada. Massive pickup in its backlog, and that backlog is coming in at much higher margins than the current business. Highly visible, high predictable. Expects margin expansion, high profitability, and free cashflow generation.
Extremely cheap. High-quality business, so even multiple expansion is possible. Whether a company has enough resources to meet the backlog is a good question, and this company has a good track record of doing so. Reputation is on the line if it doesn't deliver. Yield is 2.85%.
One issue is that every once in a while they take a fixed-price contract and lose $$ on it. A risk that keeps the valuation low. Sector should have some growth with planned infrastructure spending. Needs a bit more consistency in execution and meeting estimates.
It's just OK. He prefers the larger companies like WSP and STN in terms of safety, especially as we don't know which way the economy's going to go in the next couple of years. BDT is relatively small, so investors would be quick to sell if things get dicey.
One of the strongest-performing Canadian stocks this year. Recent pullback. Question now is whether a lot of the optimism is already reflected in the price. Record backlog continues, winning large infrastructure projects. Management's executed exceptionally well. About 9% upside potential from here.
Most interesting angle is AI. Bell chose BDT as its preferred construction partner for a multi-year Canadian data centre buildout. Fundamentally, a great business. To enter, wait for a pullback. If you own, take some profits. Don't chase aggressively here.