Aur Resources (AUR.TO) Buy, Sell or Hold

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Aur Resources (AUR.TO)

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TOP PICK

Mostly copper based. Pristine balance sheet. Dirt, dirt cheap. 6 X earnings. Under 3 X EBITDA. Good management.

DON'T BUY

In the absence of a stronger market for metals, it is difficult to get excited. Also, the mid-caps are not going to be the stronger performers. You'll have to wait for the big caps to start performing first.

WEAK BUY

Model price is north of $10. A lot of these companies have huge valuations in terms of peak earnings, but have balance sheet restraints in terms of valuation. Looking out a year with earnings analysts are projecting, a high would be about $9.30. The trouble with cyclical stocks is that no one is going to pay top dollar.

WEAK BUY

Challenged on the growth side in terms of new production. It's more of a play on the copper price. There is some consolidation in the metals market which might give some upside. Could be a takeout candidate.

TOP PICK

All 3 Top Picks are in a major uptrend and all have significantly higher targets and nobody follows them. This is a copper stock and has a beautiful chart. Had a wonderful move in in 2001, a correction and then another move in 2003 followed by another correction and believes there is a 3rd leg coming. Action on copper prices today supports his feelings. Above its 200 day moving average.

BUY

Copper is hitting a 16 year high, but is a volatile commodity. A lot of underdeveloped nations are buying it up like fury. Not a bad play on copper with a bit of gold exposure.

TOP PICK

Has a huge technical base going back to 1996. Had a breakout in 2003 and then settled back to the $5.50/6.50 range, spent a year there and has just now broken out. Thinks it's ready for the 2nd upleg.

BUY

Volatile history. Good for copper. Consolidation candidate.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Aug 5/04. Up 14%.) A value call. Stock is still cheap.

PAST TOP PICK

(Top pick Oct 19/04. Down 3.5%.) Company has reported recent guidance. Earnings for this year are targeted in the mid $0.90 US level. Fairly cheap. 2005 could be a fairly strong year.

HOLD

Have a number of operations. Didn't have a replacement fot the Lubricor mine which shut down, so hasn't done much. Trading awfully cheap. Have a few really good assets. At some point they need to merge.

BUY

Heavily levered to the price of copper and as copper has been dropping, this is affecting this stock. Believes China will continue to grow, so base metals should continue strong.

WEAK BUY

Short term prospects are probably better than the long term ones. Benefitting from the strong price of copper. Their major mine has a very short reserve life of a few years.

HOLD

An established management team. Not a lot of new mines in the pipeline. Copper prices are very good.

BUY

Generally mining Stocks do very well in the late stages of the bull market which is where we are. A good time to own this stock.

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Aur Resources (AUR.TO)