Aur Resources (AUR.TO) Buy, Sell or Hold

Aur Resources (AUR.TO)

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TOP PICK

Likes resource stocks in general. We are in the 2nd half of the bull market. At that stage, resource stocks will do well. Downside risk is about $7.50.

HOLD

Generating a ton of cash flow, has a clean balance sheet and sitting on a mountain of cash. Interesting, but trades at net asset value right now.

BUY

A copper play. When the economy's strong, more copper pipe goes in.

BUY

Very much favours resources at this stage of the market. Had an excellent move to early 2004, pulled back and made a secondary base and is now on the verge of a breakout. The downside risk would be about $6.50/6.75 while the upside risk is $10 and more.

WEAK BUY

Basically a copper play. Street doesn't like the management team. Had a failed merger attempt a year or so ago. With high copper prices, earnings will continue, but they have a short reserve life. With a different management team the stock would probably be $3/4 higher, but management is entrenched and need to buy another asset to get the growth profile going.

BUY

A big copper play. Copper is at a 16 year high and yet the stock hasn't done a great deal. Believes in the longer term growth story of commodities and this might very well be a takeover target.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Apr 11/05. Down 8.5%.) Has just gone into a trading range and feels he was probably just a little bit early. Still feels that it is an excellent stock. Hold.

DON'T BUY

The issue here is the lack of growth going forward. Production will decline over the next 2 years. If copper prices go down, this stock will be hit.

DON'T BUY

An extreme value copper stock. Has a lot of cash and trading about 4 X earnings. In the process of shutting down a mine at this time. Earnings and sales will come down next year. Not very bullish on copper.

DON'T BUY

A trend line across the lows would show that it has bounced off the lows and we now head up to the top of the trading channel. Not too excited about the resources stocks. Expect they will rally but some will fail to make new highs.

WAIT

A very well run company. Generating an awful lot of cash at these prices. Outlook for the base metals market next year is a bit softer because the economy is going to be soft. Wouldn't be in a huge rush to own, but over time shareholders will be rewarded.

DON'T BUY

Good 1st quarter, lots of cash and low P/E, but lots of debt. This nets out at about $1 a share cash. Making money on the high copper prices. Market is disappointed that management is not more aggressive. They have one mine that is in the process of closing.

BUY

Looking at copper 2/3 years out, he is bullish and just initiated a position in Aur Resources (AUR-T) and are looking at both Constellation Copper (CCU-T) and Noranda (NRD.LV-T).

DON'T BUY

The one problem he has with this one is what's its potential. Just can't get excited about it. Too expensive.

WEAK BUY

A frustrating stock to own. Good things happen, but the stock does nothing. They need another asset. Their life in the mine is declining and they need to set themselves up for the next decade. Management is pretty bad. Cheap, but you're not going to get rich next wek.

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Aur Resources (AUR.TO)