ATI Technologies (ATY.TO) Buy, Sell or Hold

ATI Technologies (ATY.TO)

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DON'T BUY

Continues to have a slugfest versus Nvidia (NVDA-Q) in the graphics acceleration side. Ranks in the bottom 10% of his database. Earnings have declined 83% of the most recent quarter and estimates have been chopped by 40% for the Aug '06 year.

BUY

This is a good entry point. Be prepared to see another minus 10/15%. The potential is a $5 increase.

BUY

Likes the stock at this price. You have to have a tough stomach as it bounces around a lot. Could be considered a trading stock. Getting into the cell phonemarket. Qualcom (QCOM-Q) is going to be licensing. Into the flat panel market.

BUY

Have half a billion of cash on the balance sheet which is almost $3 a share. If you take that off, you are only paying $11 a share. Most people think that they'll at least make $1 in 2006 which is 11 X earnings.

DON'T BUY

This stock could go as low as $15.10. Gave a warning, but as yet he has not got the earnings estimates into his model. Has a model price of actually $26 which is substantially above where it is currently trading here. His only question is how far the model price will come down on the earnings announcement.

DON'T BUY

A very volatile stock. Has been losing market share in the high end computer to Nvidia (NVDA-Q). A lot of the bad news has already been reflected in the share price.

HOLD

Market is very concerned about this next quarter as they feel that there is inventory building, Nvidia (NVDA-Q) is being reborn, etc. Company is doing very well on the consumers side. As they introduce new products over the next few months, they'll have a better 2nd half. Cheap.

TRADE

It's the kind of business that has to reinvent itself every 12 months. Major competitor is Nvidia NVDA-Q). Very strong company with very strong technology and very strong in its industry. An OK stock to hold, but expects it will be a volatile situation.

BUY

Has a model price of $26.06. Finally seeing a little bounce in the tech names.

DON'T BUY

Volatility is unbelievable. Really have to have a strong stomach.

BUY

Has a model price of $25.50.

WAIT

Has been a bit of a disappointing perfomer. This is a reflection of the area they are in. Locked in a duel to the death with Nvidia (NVDA-Q) in the graphics chip market. Also, Intel (INTC-Q) is coming in on the integrated graphics which will be a major competitor. Expects the stock will tread water until it can make a successful transition to the consumer side of the business. A show-me stock.

TOP PICK

Long term chart shows a long support level from the middle of '03 at $18 and better. The top channel is at $25/26 and there could be a breakout at that point.

BUY

2 good things have happened this month. First, the earnings and forcast by Intel (INTC-Q) which has to be bullish for ATI. It was the best news for the semiconductor business that has been heard for some time. Secondly, finally getting near to a resolution of the insider trading problems. That will be a cloud removed. Will be volatile.

BUY

Looking very seriously at this one with this valuation. Have done a great job in the PC market with the graphic chips at the core of their franchise creating 90% of revenue. Have been very proactive moving into new markets, such as cell phones and flat panel display.

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ATI Technologies (ATY.TO)