Stockchase Opinions

Guy AdamiAmazon.com, Inc.AMZNBUYDec 28, 2022

Amazon is at a three-year low. But it has seen some amazing rallies in the recent past. They report earnings in a few weeks. Shares are so bad that they're good.
$81.82

Stock price when the opinion was issued

$271.88

As of May 28, 2026. Market Open.

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BUY

A sound growth stock. Are starting to offer supply chain services to customers. 

BUY

AWS is racking up big client wins and is accelerating pace, because it has been investing heavily in infrastructure (that's paying off).

BUY

They reported a strong quarter last week, driven by AWS and AI. AWS has an annual revenue run rate of $150 billion. AMZN keeps adding to the story on a regular basis. They are setting up satellites and offering their supply chain services anyone. Today, they announced a new venture in logistics.

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TOP PICK

In the last quarter, the company reported 2.78 USD per share, beating the 1.63 USD estimate by 70.21%. Revenue for the same period reached 181.52 B USD, despite the estimate of 177.28 B USD. For the next quarter, analysts expect 1.75 USD in earnings per share and 189.43 B USD in revenue. Social media mentions are up 346% in the past 24h.

BUY

They reported today. Their AWS grew 28%, insane, as revenues and EPS also beat.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick May 02/25, Up 33%)

He'd put new $$ in today. Blip on the chart from $240 to $210 was when they raised capex on AI spending. Investors have now come around.

TOP PICK

Viewers are probably thinking, "Aw, Kim, you picked all the big companies." But at the stage of where the market is, these big companies can definitely go higher in price. Even if something comes out of left field, these companies have the ability to work through it.

Tremendous AI momentum. AWS is a cash cow. Also has advertising; a hidden moat, because they know what we're buying. No dividend.

(Analysts’ price target is $283.23)
DON'T BUY

Peeled back his position due to concerns about the market in general. Wonderful consumer business, fabulous web services business. The hyperscalers are spending all this $$ on data centres, but we can't tell who the winner will be. The stock is tired, same as with the other Mag 7's. 

Natural gas will be a winner ;)  That's a better play. See his Top Picks.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick May 02/25, Up 6%)

Heavy investments in AI took the stock down. He's sees spending not as a weakness, but as a source of strength by leaning into its scale and distribution advantages. Strongly advocates it as a Buy today.

HOLD

Way to get exposure to both e-commerce and AI buildout. AWS powers a large part of the internet, and increasingly becoming key to companies looking to deploy AI into real-world applications. Evolving from just a cloud story to a platform enabling AI to scale. 

Holding despite trading sideways. Will be a leader in the space.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Apr 03/25, Up 19%)

Was seen as AI laggard, but AWS has now caught up considerably. Believes it'll still be a winner going forward. It's a lot easier to figure out how to use a new tool with your existing business than to start from scratch, and the dominant players are already there.

BUY

Has been adding to this. AWS leads in the cloud while their retail business is starting to make decent money in North America. Growth is slowing but margins are improving. Likes it long term. Valuation is appealing.

BUY

Trades ~17x PE for 2028 for 20% growth. Very reasonable PEG ratio. Concern is that spending is in overdrive but returns won't be sufficient. At forefront of AI revolution. AWS spinout could add another $35 per share.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Aug 01/25, Down 3%)

(Note the shortish timeframe.)  AI and cloud storage are still in play as a long-term story. Volatility due to profit-taking and a shifting focus. Continues to be a good buy. With huge capex, investors want to see returns.

BUY

An efficient logistics business. Cheap at 19x PE.