American TowerAMTCOMMENTJun 20, 2017Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Aug 06, 2026. Market Open.
Cell phone tower owner/operator - leases out to providers. Very good business as towers don't need to be re-developed. Able to grow earnings at a consistent basis. A little bit more debt than is preferred, but with falling interest rates - will be good for business. Good time to invest in company, and has been buying shares.
As a REIT, some benefit with respect to rate expectations. Just sold tower business in India, which was an overhang, using proceeds to reduce leverage. Capital allocation moving towards developed (away from developing) countries, which adds certainty, higher inflation protection, and more data. Yield is 2.7%.
(Analysts’ price target is $237.64)AMT is a $77.5B REIT which pays a 3.8% yield. Forward sales and earnings estimates are decent, and its historical growth rates are strong. Its margins have been weakening over the past few years and its valuation has come down alongside the rapid rise in interest rates. It generates good free cash flows, which are partly used for distributions and partially for paying down debt. It has a good balance sheet, and it is fundamentally strong, but its valuations are somewhat high and declining based on competition from other high-yielding assets with much less risk such as GICs and high-interest savings accounts. We feel that a catalyst that could help its share price is interest rates stalling or even declining. The central banks indicating that they are done with hiking interest rates can act as a catalyst for AMT and other REITs.
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American Tower (AMT-N), Crown Castle International (CCI-N) or SBA Communications (SBAC-Q)? US REITs that own cell towers. You want to own these because they have multiple tenants. The average tower has 3 or 4 tenants. They can put more and more gear on them, so there is lots of room to grow revenues. The US is going through a boom on bandwidth, certainly wireless spectrum. Of the 3, he prefers this, the most international of the group. About 60% of revenue comes from the US and the rest is international. Generates a lot of free cash flow, and is highly predictable because of 5 year contracts. As we move to 5G, there is going to be a whole bunch more gear getting loaded on these towers, allowing them to charge more rent. It doesn’t pay a big dividend, but it has grown 34% a year over the last 5 years.