American International GroupAIGCOMMENTFeb 19, 2014Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 10, 2026. Market Open.
Has a new CEO, a long-time industry veteran. The company is still having a tough time coming out of the financial crisis. Its focus in recent years has been cost cutting, working down debt, buying back stock, but it really hasn’t had much profitable growth. The new CEO is focused on profitable growth. This stock is so cheap, trading at .8X BV, where most of them are trading at 1.4X BV. There is no reason it can’t get it to that level. It is going to take time and could get ugly and messy, but he is willing to commit 3-5 years. If it happens, it will be a $100+ stock. Dividend yield of 2%. (Analysts’ price target is $70.50.)
(A Top Pick March 21/17. Up 3%.) Basically trades in line with the S&P 500. One of the top insurance names on the planet. Trading slightly below BV, while it normally is about 2X BV. There is an activist in there shaking things up. A conservative way to play financial services and to hedge your portfolio against higher interest rates.
He is looking for market-leading companies that are in sectors out of favour, and either have very strong dividends or some sort of catalyst that will unlock value. Mr. Icahn has taken a position and he knows value, will perhaps break it apart with the sum of the parts being worth more than the whole. (Analysts’ price target is $70.)
A very large US insurer. Doesn’t own this as there are so many line items associated with US insurers that it gives him a little bit of apprehension and keeps him sticking close to home with Canadian financials. However, this has shown dramatic improvement. Operational EPS was $4.57 for 2013, which was the best ever since the financial crisis. Also, the multiple has expanded quite substantially. It was trading at 0.5X Book at the beginning of 2013 and is now 0.7X. The issue now is, can they keep that momentum. Growth rate of property/casualty underwriting is slowing and looking at the most recent amount of share buybacks that they have executed, it is not as much as the Street was expecting. If you own, he would look to trim off a little bit in the low to mid $50’s.