Opinions
Norman Levine
Aurora Cannabis
ACB-T
DON'T BUY
Sep 25, 2018
$12.770
Stock price when the opinion was issued
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DON'T BUY
He feels all cannabis stocks are gambling stocks. A maturing debenture is expected to keep downward pressure on the share price. There is no assurance that any existing company will be a survivor -- it is simply too early. No one is making money in this space. Without being able to predict revenues and expenses, it is too risky. He would stay away from these.
BUY
They each have their own strengths. He would pick Canopy (WEED-T) because they are the 800 lb gorilla. Aurora has lots of news about balance sheet challenges but they have low costs that he thinks will still come down further.
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The caller was looking for a safer way to invest in cannabis stocks and suggested alternatives to Aurora. Mr. Levine said that he is not sure there’s a safe way to invest in any cannabis stock. He doesn’t own any marijuana stocks and thinks that his clients would rightly fire him if he bought any. The risk profile and volatility of this industry are far too high at this time. Aurora has a market cap of $12 billion against only $50 million in sales. For any rational investor, this makes no sense. It is potentially profitable for short-term trading by a speculator or gambler. He faced the same types of investment risks during the dot-com era and refused to invest in the rapid-growth stocks of that time, which rose dramatically and then went bust. With specific respect to Aurora, he says that the CEO is not a Bruce Linton. He considers the Aurora CEO far too promotional for a $9 billion business.