Aurora CannabisACB.TODON'T BUYJun 26, 2018Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 05, 2026. Market Open.
They each have their own strengths. He would pick Canopy (WEED-T) because they are the 800 lb gorilla. Aurora has lots of news about balance sheet challenges but they have low costs that he thinks will still come down further.
His weed exposure is through Constellation Brands which owns Canopy--this is less risky than owning cannabis stocks. The valuation on the entire sector rose way too high in 2017-8. Now, the industry is feeling growing pains, with unexpected surprises in working with governments. Generally sin stocks do well long term, but the next year or two will be challenging.
He sees cannabis as no different from the Internet craze in the 1990’s. Between now and October, he expects all these stocks to crash. The equity market is fueling this industry. Enthusiasm is driving the price, not fundamentals. In October, valuation will start being driven by fundamentals and the fundamentals won’t support the prices. The group will go down and then a few survivors will rise, but we don’t which ones yet.