Apple IncAAPLBUYMay 30, 2014Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Oct 05, 2026. Market Open.
Still has a bit of a valuation issue, north of 30x PE. They've delivered, and will continue to do so. Its OS dominates the world at 70% of mobile devices, which will continue to generate growth. Doesn't know what'll happen to iPhone sales in China.
Other areas in tech are looking much, much cheaper. AAPL's getting a premium valuation, which it'll have to continue to earn. Not enough there to make it to the top of his list right now.
Her team is less positive on consumer spending, so they're not in this name. Key for long-term success will be how they embed AI into the iPhone. Not an impressive job thus far. Management changes could result in better innovation on AI -- has potential, but needs to show it.
For her, it's less about the foldable phone and more about a unique AI platform.
Some predict weakness in Apple's new iPhone sales because Apple raised the price of the phone in line with the rising cost of memory. Demand will depend on the telcos--will they continue to subsidize the growth in iPhones? It could be a challenge for the telcos. Next week, Apple has to show very good progress with Siri to have a successful phone launch. If not....
Sat out the capex buildout, relying on owning the end consumer. Time will tell if this was the right strategy. Massive service industry, with margins above 75%. The default stalwart when investors get worried about AI capex debt. Really good brand and margins, best share buyback program ever. Market's still trying to figure out where it fits in the AI ecosystem.
Since March, he's bought this 6 times and it kept moving higher. It's up 26% since the June 25 low of $273. It is losing near-term momentum, for sure, and is vulnerable to a deeper decline. When it does, the stock will pause, and he will continue to buy more, because this is the Mag 7 stock that will stand above the others.
Buy more Qualcomm (QCOM-Q) or go to Apple (APPL-Q)? Diversification is always a good thing. What percentage of Qualcomm makes up your portfolio? Without that info, he prefers to give just a broad answer to the question. Apple has lots of legs, and is being driven by a few things including first and foremost, innovation. There has been a lot of talk that innovation is dead at Apple. Looking back to the time between the interaction of the iPod, the introduction of the iPhone, followed by iPad, we are really not out of sync so much. Apple is primed for a very big jump if and when they come out with a product that in any way looks like it comes close to the iPod, iPhone and the iPad. If they do, you will see organic growth in earnings and cash flow and revenues rise dramatically. What will really drive the stock is that the multiples will rise because the confidence of the investors will rise to the point that they will be willing to pay more per $ of earnings, being a P/E ratio. Right now the P/E ratio on Apple is quite muted and could rise 25%, 30%, 50%.