Stockchase Opinions

Mark Grammer SoftBank Corp 9984-JP COMMENT Jul 10, 2014

Owns more than 20% of Alibaba, and is the best way to get exposure to Alibaba before its IPO in the next 12 months or so. His fund owns this company primarily for that reason.

N/A

Stock price when the opinion was issued

Telecommunications
It's the ideal tool to help you make quicker, more informed decisions for managing and tracking your investments.

You might be interested:

TOP PICK

It owns positions in Alibaba and Sprint. They have a $100 billion VC fund, the most powerful anywhere apparently. World-class assets. (Analysts' price target: Yen 12568 )

DON'T BUY

They've invested in areas of tech that many are interested in. But can they truly achieve their objective? It's a holding company--you take arisk that over time they end up with a discount from NAV. Don't buy this, but invest in an area they are in that interests you instead.

PAST TOP PICK

(Past Top Pick, Oct. 11, 2017, Up 14%) This stock has lifted only in the past few months after being sideways or down. They have a $100-billion vision fund which is now $200 bilion, more than all that Silicon Valley has raised in two years. His catalyst was the spin-off that took a $1-billion investment. Since then, he invested in this and has been happy. There's more room to go.

DON'T BUY

Trying to become like Berkshire Hathaway, but in the tech space. Have a ton of debt. Everything they’re buying has a lot of risk. Red flag that they’re using strong stock price as currency to acquire. Doesn’t want to be in this space. Putting a lot of money into telecom, and won’t get a huge payback.

BUY
It owns a diversified suite of assets. It trades at a 30% discount. He likes it. You have to let management surface value with these kinds of conglomerates.
DON'T BUY
Double-risky bet. Funding for startups, but leveraged 2:1. Stock went up, and fell drastically with the tech sector. If you're going to take a position, it should only be 1/4 - 1/2 of what you normally would.
PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Jul 11/18, Up 16%) It's loaded with debt and has invested in risky things, like WeWork and Uber. That Uber IPO this week didn't bode well for SoftBank. They recently launched a $5.5 billion share buyback. This stock is down because of Uber weakness. (There is IPO fatigue, and not Uber's fault.)

HOLD
The We Work situation is hard to understand and may hold him back from investing more in them. As long as risk appetite remains positive, this will do okay.
PARTIAL SELL
The WeWork situation is a mess. WW started by borrowing and raising investment, but rather than go to new investors later, WW returned to SoftBank for more money. However, Softbank internally said that WW is worth more, so they paid out more to WW--that valuation bump will move through their earnings and make it look like they've had a good. He doesn't know the legality of this from an accounting perspective... Recently, WW went to the market valued at $47 billion, but the market valued WW at $10 billion. SoftBank just threw WW a $5 billion line to salvage what's left. It's hard to hold this stock if you don't trust management. Consider a half-sell and see what happens. Though, SoftBank's CEO is successful and a risk-taker. Anyway, expect volatility.
DON'T BUY

One issue they have is misallocating capital in stocks like Uber and WeWork, but not really thinking through their investing decisions and relying on gut feeling. Softbank also has trouble raising money, and there's basically just one person running the show here. Also, there are questions about their corporate governance. This isn't a good way to run a business and they will suffer. Look elsewhere.