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COMMENT
COMMENT
May 10, 2019
Market Outlook Uber has gone public now and is trading without a hitch -- especially during the worst week in the market this year. Its market cap is already huge. For the market as a whole, trade fears with China have reemerged. The odds seem low that the trade delegation will have any major positive announcements this week. The markets appear to be taking it in stride, but we should expect to see some continued downward pressure. The US has a strong economy and the upper hand on China, he thinks. President Trump is also trying to pressure another rate cut.
Market Outlook Uber has gone public now and is trading without a hitch -- especially during the worst week in the market this year. Its market cap is already huge. For the market as a whole, trade fears with China have reemerged. The odds seem low that the trade delegation will have any major positive announcements this week. The markets appear to be taking it in stride, but we should expect to see some continued downward pressure. The US has a strong economy and the upper hand on China, he thinks. President Trump is also trying to pressure another rate cut.
Jason Mann
CIO & Co-Founder, Edgehill Patners
COMMENT
COMMENT
May 10, 2019
Uber IPO. Opened up, and then down on the day. Despite the tariffs increase overnight, shows resilience of this market, as there was a massive reversal on the day. "Sell in May, go away" may not play out after all.
Uber IPO. Opened up, and then down on the day. Despite the tariffs increase overnight, shows resilience of this market, as there was a massive reversal on the day. "Sell in May, go away" may not play out after all.
Jon Vialoux
Research Analyst, CastleMoore Inc.
COMMENT
COMMENT
May 10, 2019
"Sell in May, go away" strategy. The market actually trades higher over the summer months. Sell in May strategy gives 64% less of a return than just buy and hold. Gains tend to be larger from October to May. Lower your risk during the summer, such as healthcare, agriculture, staples, utilities, REITs, energy. Have to be more tactical in the off-season.
"Sell in May, go away" strategy. The market actually trades higher over the summer months. Sell in May strategy gives 64% less of a return than just buy and hold. Gains tend to be larger from October to May. Lower your risk during the summer, such as healthcare, agriculture, staples, utilities, REITs, energy. Have to be more tactical in the off-season.
Jon Vialoux
Research Analyst, CastleMoore Inc.
COMMENT
COMMENT
May 10, 2019
Analysis on oil. Was bullish on oil from end of January to a couple of weeks ago. Strong demand fundamentals were driving the price. Overhang is a supply glut. Expects price to see price supported at $60-62 and move higher from there during summer driving season. Demand is there and should support it over the long term.
Analysis on oil. Was bullish on oil from end of January to a couple of weeks ago. Strong demand fundamentals were driving the price. Overhang is a supply glut. Expects price to see price supported at $60-62 and move higher from there during summer driving season. Demand is there and should support it over the long term.
Jon Vialoux
Research Analyst, CastleMoore Inc.
COMMENT
COMMENT
May 10, 2019
Outlook for the Dow? Tested upper limit 3 times. Triple top. Significant level of resistance. We have a lower low, but not a higher high. Could reignite further selling pressure. Until we break out higher or lower, we're in a consolidation phase.
Outlook for the Dow? Tested upper limit 3 times. Triple top. Significant level of resistance. We have a lower low, but not a higher high. Could reignite further selling pressure. Until we break out higher or lower, we're in a consolidation phase.
Jon Vialoux
Research Analyst, CastleMoore Inc.
COMMENT
COMMENT
May 10, 2019
MACD explanation. Stands for Moving Average Convergence Divergence. A momentum indicator. Want to see the convergence do better on different time scales. When momentum is trending higher, a crossover is a trigger to buy, a crossover below is a trigger to sell. He looks for divergences to see if there's waning buying or selling demand for a stock. Momentum negatively diverging from price is typically a precursor to a downturn.
MACD explanation. Stands for Moving Average Convergence Divergence. A momentum indicator. Want to see the convergence do better on different time scales. When momentum is trending higher, a crossover is a trigger to buy, a crossover below is a trigger to sell. He looks for divergences to see if there's waning buying or selling demand for a stock. Momentum negatively diverging from price is typically a precursor to a downturn.
Jon Vialoux
Research Analyst, CastleMoore Inc.