iShares PHLX Semiconductor ETF. (SOXX-Q)

The semiconductors are a great barometer for information technology. The new cycle started in 2023, there was a big uptrend, and the chart now is showing distribution. What that means is that institutional investors are looking to reduce exposure. Over the last couple of months, we've been hugging this key level at the 40-week MA; on Monday, we moved below it.

So the S&P 500 made new highs this week, which might extend today, but we have this negative divergence where the semis haven't followed suit.

Remember that some of the semis are very cyclical. Right now, there's an oversupply on the memory side, which you can see with the likes of ASML. And you can see this ETF rolling over. He stays away from ETFs because they're a mixed bag. The place you want to be in semis is in AI chips -- like NVDA, and AVGO (nipping at NVDA's heels).

A broad-based play. A lot of individual names go down 10-15% when they miss on earnings. This ETF gives you diverse exposure to the names you'd want to own, but wrapped up in a nice little package. Buy and hold for the next year, see where we are after that.

His thesis is that growth is going to outperform.

The Canadian equivalent is CHPS.

Excellent option for semi conductor industry. Safe product with a good distributor. A.I. demand for chips steadily increasing. A good option for a portion of investor portfolio. Would recommend holding and/or buying. 

Seeing strong outperformance due to chips and AI. Bellwether is NVDA, followed by AMD, MU and (to a lesser extent) INTC. Just getting started on the AI movement. Chips will continue to be a major part of that. Great long-term investment for diverse exposure; could buy today and still make money.

But for a short-term trade, be cautious on entry point, as many of the names have run up. Always have to be cautious when buying something that's moved significantly to the upside already.

Likes the general strength in sector. However, high valuation a worry for investors. Would recommend selling on strength. Wait for price weakness before investing. Overall, good fundamentals, but would advise investors to be careful before investing. 

Significant growth in sector will power results of this ETF. However, would classify as option with a high valuation. Make sure risk management allows for protection from a correction. Overall.. trend is strong though. 

A lot of the tech stocks are approaching their price targets, so what's an investor to do? He always recommends writing some calls, actively managing them. You can do this on ETFs over the counter.

Runway for SOXX is probably longer than that of the ZQQ.

Don't sell on recent strength.
Expecting further growth.
Would advise a stop loss - market could fall with upcoming recession fears.
If large position in portfolio - suggest selling a little bit. 

A few weeks ago, it got 3 standard deviations above its 50-day moving average, which triggered him to take profits. It's a short-term trade.

Both have had very good runs. He'd take a third off the table. If it goes up, you still have two thirds. If it goes down, pat yourself on the back for being so smart. Then you can figure out if the trend is there to go lower. For both he'd trim a bit, and either way you'll feel good about yourself. :)

Semiconductors run everything around us. When he participates in these ETFs, he always does it by thirds, both on the way in and on the way out.

Semis are overbought, a legacy of the pandemic, but inventories are starting to normalize and even a few shortages in places. We're overdue for a decline. A trader can play this, but this is not a long-term buy.