Today, Danesh Rohinton and Larry Berman CFA, CMT, CTA commented about whether FRDM, ZRE-T, FIE-T, IBM-N, ATD-T, OSK-T, TDG-N, V-N, LVMUY-OTC, SLF-T, MFC-T, FFH-T, EL-N, RCI.B-T, QBR.B-T, T-T, BCE-T, FISV-Q, UBS-N, MG-T, RY-T, MSFT-Q, TRYG-CPH, MA-N, LIN-N, BABA-N, WELL-T, NVDA-Q, REI.UN-T, LEN-N, ENB-T, NVO-N, AMZN-Q, SHOP-T, CCO-T are stocks to buy or sell.
Diversified, high-luxury company. Toll road for high luxury, and that runs through China (1/3 of its customer base). A clean, quality, Chinese consumer proxy. More to go if you think the China stimulus is real. (Price target in euros.) Yield is 1.9%.
If the Chinese stimulus is not that effective, he's less positive on it, as that's this stock's biggest driver. It is a higher-risk proxy, but his other Top Picks are low beta to compensate.
Regulatory issues on debit may affect how it does business, but this globally diversified company can manage it. Tactical opportunity to buy more and average into a compelling, long-term opportunity. Reasonable market multiple. Benefits from cash-to-card and push payments. Yield is 0.8%.
(Analysts’ price target is $308.42)Sole source for low-value components, like bathrooms and seatbelts, in high-value aircraft. Aircraft fleets are getting older. Airline miles continue to grow. Great compounder, best position in its value chain.
No dividend, but it does have regular cash and special dividends, which speaks to management quality. If management can't find a good acquisition, it diverts the cash to shareholders instead.
The US Fed's Jay Powell said today that he isn't rushing to cut rates, but will be more aggressive if the data warrants it (if the labour market weakens dramatically)... re: Israel killed the Hezbollah leader which could escalate Middle East tensions: Tension will continue until Iran's government changes.
China is indeed investible, but not for the long term, but "rent" it short term. Why not long term? Because of their declining birth rate and falling population projections to fall by half by 2100. Factors: the one-child policy and the imbalance between genders. The population will shrink and it can't be entirely fixed by immigration. Data shows him that China was outperforming the U.S. pre-Covid. But China's post-Covid response was terrible, so their market suffered a massive correction. But stimulus has lifted China's markets in recent weeks. How to play emerging markets? Buy an ETF ex-China, FRDM.
The stock is VERY cheap and management has been in the business a long time, with some good successes at prior companies. However, the company is quite small ($65M) and its operations have more risk than Canadian producers, which are also very cheap. The balance sheet is fine, but with only two analysts it tends to get ignored in the market. With risk high we think larger, domestic names offer a better risk/reward set up.
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CAJPY is based in Japan, so keep in mind we do not follow it closely. It has strong market share, a strong balance sheet, and good expected earnings growth. Even with good gains this year, valuation is decent at 14X earnings. Its legacy chipmaking machines are seeing very strong demand. We would consider it a decent investment but please not the first line above. We do not know it very well.
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It is a relatively low growth company, but shares are up 24% YTD. Sector sentiment has shifted, with lower rates providing a fundamental and sentiment boost and AI-demand adding some excitement to a boring sector. We would not expect the same rate of gains, but would be comfortable holding this for income right now.
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Likes the breakout. His #2 choice in the space, behind FFH at #1, but ahead of SLF.