WEAK BUY
Shift away from tech into cyclicals. Cheapest valuation since its IPO. Regulatory hurdles. Longer term, will continue to grow, as digital ads can go nowhere but up. Metaverse growth is something to consider as well.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Feb 25/21, Up 1%) Still likes it, but sold it in favour of one that tracks actual commodities. Diversified basket. Should continue to do well looking out 12, 18, 24 months.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Feb 25/21, Up 25%) Will benefit from rising rates. De-risking assets. Good technical chart. Outperforming the S&P. Only 0.7x price to book. Yield is 4.3%.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Feb 25/21, Down 17%) Caught in regulatory shift. Building new stores. Hampered by massive lockdowns. As Covid recedes, it will benefit. Long-term demographics remain favourable. Rising disposable income, young population, and longer working hours for urbanites should increase restaurant spending. 14-15% long-term earnings growth. China is tricky, so for new clients, he's taking only partial positions.
DON'T BUY
Moving in now might be too late. 19x forward earnings, for 13% growth, which is not too bad. Don't buy it just because of what's happening in the world today, because those reasons might soon go away.
COMMENT
Investing on geopolitical events. Don't buy something just because of what's happening in the world today, because those reasons may go away in short order. Same as you don't want to sell everything and go to cash today. You want to look for names that are good quality for the next 12-18 months. For example, maybe some travel names are down that you can take advantage of. He wouldn't buy defense contractors, consumer staples or gold today. Geopolitical events don't have a meaningful or lasting impact on the market. You want to take advantage of the fears in the market, but not invest in things that have responded quickly to geopolitical events.
BUY
Had been performing well, but underperforming since January. Fairly cheap. There will be some volatility. Supply chain constraints have hurt. 6.4x forward earnings, 10% growth, which is not a bad formula. Prefers it over the more exciting, but expensive, TSLA.
BUY
Fine to hold great quality names like this one. If the weighting gets too big, trim. Firing on all cylinders. Down 40% from highs because of rotation. Around 200-day MA, so it could move higher, but lots of volatility. If you need a tech name in your portfolio, he'd recommend it.
DON'T BUY
Down about 44% from highs. Still trades fairly rich at 70x forward PE. Lots of competition around the corner. Price to sales is 9.5x. Tough to own when money's moving back into value names.
SELL
Safe recovery stock? Stock got stuck around $25-26, so he sold at technical resistance, taking profits. With travel picking up, this will make sense. Looking out 2-5 years, stock should perform well.
HOLD
Suffered recently a bit, as shine from Covid has worn off. Great defensive growth name. Likes healthcare in general. Don't sell it to buy LLY, but nothing against LLY. Trades at 6x forward earnings. Great cardio drug that could be a gamechanger, strong pipeline. Yield is 3.5%.
BUY
Utilities, pipelines, telecoms. Very nice dividend of around 7.6% with the covered call. YTD, down only 1.24%, which is not bad. Good name for income, not a ton of capital appreciation.
BUY
Great franchise. Telecom stocks have started to rebound a bit. Increases dividend over time, which is important with rising rates. More for income, with only some capital growth. Good cashflow, wireless is one of the best. Nice dividend at 5.6%.
DON'T BUY
Longer-term 200-day MA trendline has been falling, and the share price is below that. Challenged by rising wages and labour market constraints. Struggling to improve ground express margins. Historical earnings growth of 6%. UPS has done much better with 14% growth, better technicals, better growth rate, better chart.
BUY
UPS has done much better than FDX with 14% growth, better technicals, better growth rate, better chart.